Worldcoin

Today's state: Worldcoin is trading at $0.412500 with a $1.4 billion market capitalization (rank #81). The price moved -3.64% over the past 24 hours and is -27.39% over 7 days; the 30-day move stands at +22.88% and the 90-day at +48.27%. The 1-year picture remains negative, but the 30-day momentum has turned positive — often the early signature of trend change, though confirmation requires sustained 90-day strength.

Position vs cycle: Sitting more than 70% under its prior cycle high, the asset is deep in post-peak drawdown territory — a zone associated with late-stage bear phases or a permanent downward re-rating.

Volatility and structure: 30-day realized volatility of 213.9% annualized is extreme for an asset this size. Our composite multi-horizon Price Strength reads Neutral (42/100), with a mixed multi-horizon profile and no clear directional bias.

Beyond Bitcoin, WLD's 90-day return correlations to the other two largest layer-1 references help characterize whether the asset moves as part of a crypto-market beta complex or as something more idiosyncratic. The Pearson correlations across daily log returns:

• Bitcoin reference: +0.18 — a minimal positive relationship.
• Ethereum reference: +0.33 — a weak positive relationship.
• Solana reference: +0.34 — a weak positive relationship.

Strong correlation to multiple references typically indicates that the asset trades primarily as crypto-market beta — moves in BTC/ETH/SOL drive most of the price action, and stand-alone alpha is harder to capture. Weak or negative correlations indicate idiosyncratic drivers (project-specific news, sector rotation within crypto, or narrative shifts) that can produce returns uncorrelated with the broader market.

Worldcoin (WLD) is a cryptocurrency, traded on global digital-asset markets. It trades at $0.4125 as of the latest update, with a 24-hour move down 3.64%, placing it at rank #43 by market capitalisation among all listed digital assets. Worldcoin's current market cap stands at $1.44B, a figure used by traders, analysts and institutional desks to gauge relative liquidity and risk exposure across the crypto market.

On this page you'll find a live, daily-refreshed dashboard tracking Worldcoin across multiple data sources — price history going back several years, on-chain activity where available, fundamentals like circulating supply and dilution, top exchanges by volume, technical analysis using moving averages and RSI, and an algorithmic short, mid and long-term forecast. All figures are pulled from public APIs and cached locally; nothing here is investment advice.

Worldcoin belongs to the AI×crypto cohort: projects positioning the token as a claim on the infrastructure AI needs — compute, data or identity. It is a sentiment-driven sector, and the cohort has tended to move with the broader AI narrative more than with its own on-chain usage.

Worldcoin (WLD) is a top-100 asset, ranked #81 among all tracked tokens by capitalisation. The project sits in the proof-of-personhood identity space, and launched in 2023. Only about 35% of the eventual WLD supply is circulating so far (3.50B of 10.00B), so future unlocks remain a meaningful dilution variable. It currently trades about 97% below its all-time high of $11.85 set in March 2024.

The mechanism behind Worldcoin applies token incentives to some part of the AI stack — provisioning GPU compute, running an open inference or model marketplace, curating training data, or attesting identity. What ties the category together is coordinating those resources through crypto rather than through one centralized AI provider.

Worldcoin (WLD) is a top-100 asset, ranked #81 among all tracked tokens by capitalisation. The project sits in the proof-of-personhood identity space, and launched in 2023. Only about 35% of the eventual WLD supply is circulating so far (3.50B of 10.00B), so future unlocks remain a meaningful dilution variable. It currently trades about 97% below its all-time high of $11.85 set in March 2024. Its fully-diluted valuation of $4.13B is about 2.9× the circulating market cap of $1.44B, a gap that signals issuance overhang to factor into any longer-term thesis.

In practice the token is used to buy compute, reward hardware providers, settle inference, stake on data quality, or attest identity. For most projects in the category, measurable on-chain usage is still small next to market cap, so the assets trade largely on narrative for now.

Daily turnover is unusually high at roughly 14% of market cap ($195.05M traded in 24 hours), the kind of liquidity that reflects an active news or trading cycle.

Worldcoin's tokenomics combine its supply schedule, current circulating supply, and the relationship between circulating market cap and fully-diluted valuation. Only 35.0% of maximum supply is currently circulating, meaning future emissions remain a meaningful source of structural sell pressure. Issuance velocity and unlock schedules become important variables in any longer-term thesis. The fully diluted valuation (FDV) of $4.1 billion stands at 2.9× the current circulating market cap of $1.4 billion. The wider this ratio, the more issuance overhang the asset faces — a structural headwind on valuation that mature assets like Bitcoin do not face but that early-cycle assets typically do.

The question that matters for a longer-term view is simple: does value accrual (burns, staking-yield reinvestment, deflationary mechanics, growing ecosystem TVL) run ahead of new issuance, or behind it? Ahead, and price can compound quietly; behind, and it leans on continuous fresh demand to soak up the supply.

What sets the macro tone for crypto is the cost and availability of money: where the Fed is steering policy rates, whether dollar liquidity is expanding or draining, and how much risk the market is willing to carry. The asset class has behaved like the high-beta tail of that cycle — first to rally as conditions ease, first to crack when they tighten.

Several traditional markets serve as useful cross-checks: a strong dollar (DXY) has tended to weigh on crypto; rising 10-year Treasury yields raise the cost of holding risk; gold occasionally trades as a parallel hard-money hedge; and US equities frequently move in sympathy with crypto when the driver is liquidity rather than fundamentals.

Narrowing to Worldcoin, the cleanest leading signal has usually been crypto-native liquidity — the combined trend in stablecoin supply, futures open interest and exchange turnover. When that pool of on-chain capital grows, WLD has tended to advance with it; when it drains, the move has typically gone into reverse. With a comparatively loose 90-day BTC correlation of +0.18, WLD has shown more idiosyncratic price behaviour than the average large-cap — its own catalysts can matter as much as the broad liquidity tide.

The hazards are distinctive: prices lean on AI-sector sentiment more than on actual usage, identity-focused projects carry extra regulatory exposure, centralized AI providers compete with far better unit economics, and it remains unproven how much AI compute genuinely needs to be decentralized. Expect volatility above the broad alt-coin average.