Hedera

Today's state: Hedera is trading at $0.070170 with a $3.1 billion market capitalization (rank #34). The price moved -2.83% over the past 24 hours and is -9.48% over 7 days; the 30-day move stands at -26.62% and the 90-day at -20.68%. Both long-term and short-term horizons are pointing the same direction down — historically the regime where forced selling and capitulation are most likely to be in their later stages.

Position vs cycle: The asset trades deep in the post-peak drawdown regime, more than 70% below its prior cycle high — typical of late-stage bear conditions or assets that have permanently re-rated lower.

Volatility and structure: 30-day realized volatility of 42.4% annualized is moderate for an asset this size. Our composite multi-horizon Price Strength reads Weak (24/100), in a structurally weak state, down materially on every horizon that matters.

Looking past Bitcoin alone, how closely HBAR tracks the next two biggest layer-1s over 90 days indicates whether it is mostly market beta or something more independent. The daily-log-return correlations:

• Bitcoin reference: +0.65 — a strong positive relationship.
• Ethereum reference: +0.63 — a strong positive relationship.
• Solana reference: +0.64 — a strong positive relationship.

When an asset correlates strongly with multiple majors, it is trading largely as market beta — the big caps set the direction and standalone outperformance is elusive. Weak or negative correlations instead signal idiosyncratic forces (its own news, sector rotation, narrative changes) capable of producing returns the broader market does not share.

Hedera (HBAR) is a cryptocurrency, traded on global digital-asset markets. It trades at $0.0702 as of the latest update, with a 24-hour move down 2.83%, placing it at rank #31 by market capitalisation among all listed digital assets. Hedera's current market cap stands at $3.05B, a figure used by traders, analysts and institutional desks to gauge relative liquidity and risk exposure across the crypto market.

On this page you'll find a live, daily-refreshed dashboard tracking Hedera across multiple data sources — price history going back several years, on-chain activity where available, fundamentals like circulating supply and dilution, top exchanges by volume, technical analysis using moving averages and RSI, and an algorithmic short, mid and long-term forecast. All figures are pulled from public APIs and cached locally; nothing here is investment advice.

Hedera is a smart-contract platform competing for developer attention and application activity. Its value depends on user adoption, the depth of its developer ecosystem, and the particular trade-offs its consensus design strikes between throughput, decentralisation and finality.

Hedera (HBAR) is a top-50 asset, ranked #34 among all tracked tokens by capitalisation. About 87% of the maximum HBAR supply is in circulation today (43.47B of 50.00B), leaving a moderate emission stream still to come. It currently trades about 88% below its all-time high of $0.5661 set in September 2021.

Hedera is a Layer-1 proof-of-stake blockchain: validators lock the native token as collateral, propose and attest to blocks, and earn staking rewards for honest participation, while malicious or negligent validators are slashed. The token serves as gas for computation, staking collateral, and a governance vote.

Hedera (HBAR) is a top-50 asset, ranked #34 among all tracked tokens by capitalisation. About 87% of the maximum HBAR supply is in circulation today (43.47B of 50.00B), leaving a moderate emission stream still to come. It currently trades about 88% below its all-time high of $0.5661 set in September 2021. Its fully-diluted valuation of $3.51B is about 1.2× the circulating market cap of $3.05B, a gap that signals issuance overhang to factor into any longer-term thesis.

The chain is used to deploy and run smart contracts, to stake for network security and yield, to pay transaction fees, and as the reserve collateral underpinning its on-chain economy. Its relevance scales with how much real application activity it hosts.

Daily volume runs at about 1.7% of market capitalisation ($52.31M in the last 24 hours), in the normal band for a coin of this size and supportive of orderly entries and exits.

To read Hedera's tokenomics, look at the issuance schedule, the share of supply already in circulation, and the gap between market cap and fully-diluted valuation. At 86.9% of maximum supply already issued, the remaining issuance is a relatively small fraction of total potential supply. Sell pressure from future issuance is therefore limited. The fully diluted valuation (FDV) of $3.5 billion stands at 1.2× the current circulating market cap of $3.1 billion. The wider this ratio, the more issuance overhang the asset faces — a structural headwind on valuation that mature assets like Bitcoin do not face but that early-cycle assets typically do.

Whether the tokenomics help or hurt comes down to value accrual versus dilution — fee burns, reinvested staking yield and TVL growth on one side, scheduled emissions on the other. A favourable balance lets price grind higher without hype; an unfavourable one means the asset must keep attracting demand just to absorb issuance.

The macro backdrop for crypto assets is dominated by the Federal Reserve's rate path, the trajectory of dollar liquidity, and the unwind (or non-unwind) of the post-2020 expansion in M2 money supply. Crypto — Bitcoin in particular — has historically responded most strongly to shifts in the global liquidity regime, with risk-on phases coinciding with falling real yields and a softening dollar, and risk-off phases the inverse.

The cross-asset relationships worth watching: the dollar index (DXY), historically inversely correlated with crypto over longer windows; the 10-year Treasury yield, a proxy for the cost of risk capital; gold, which sometimes shares a "monetary hedge" framing with Bitcoin during regime changes; and the S&P 500, which during liquidity-driven moves often rhymes with crypto despite the "uncorrelated" narrative.

For Hedera specifically, the macro variable that has empirically led price most often is global crypto-market liquidity — proxied by stablecoin total supply, futures open interest, and exchange volumes. When these expand, HBAR tends to follow; when they contract, the relationship typically reverses. Given the 90-day BTC correlation of +0.65, HBAR's near-term macro sensitivity will be similar to Bitcoin's — driven primarily by the same liquidity conditions and risk-asset flows.

Key risks include concentration of stake among a few large validators, exploits in the contracts deployed on the chain, fierce competition from other Layer-1s for the same developers and liquidity, evolving regulatory treatment of staking, and the reality that network value unwinds quickly if activity migrates elsewhere.