Aptos

Today's state: Aptos is trading at $0.577000 with a $0.7 billion market capitalization (rank #85). The price moved +0.35% over the past 24 hours and is -17.99% over 7 days; the 30-day move stands at -1.82% and the 90-day at -36.07%.

Position vs cycle: The asset trades deep in the post-peak drawdown regime, more than 70% below its prior cycle high — typical of late-stage bear conditions or assets that have permanently re-rated lower.

Volatility and structure: 30-day realized volatility of 77.1% annualized is high for an asset this size. Our composite multi-horizon Price Strength reads Weak (17/100), in a structurally weak regime with material losses across every meaningful horizon.

To place APT in the wider market, its 90-day return correlations against the two other largest layer-1s show whether it trades as crypto-market beta or on its own drivers. The Pearson figures across daily log returns:

• Bitcoin reference: +0.66 — a strong positive relationship.
• Ethereum reference: +0.70 — a strong positive relationship.
• Solana reference: +0.80 — a strong positive relationship.

High correlation across several references usually means the asset is mostly crypto-market beta: when BTC, ETH and SOL move, it moves too, and independent alpha is hard to find. Low or negative readings point to its own drivers — project-specific news, intra-crypto sector rotation or narrative shifts — that can decouple it from the broad market.

Aptos (APT) is a cryptocurrency, traded on global digital-asset markets. It trades at $0.5770 as of the latest update, with a 24-hour move up 0.35%, placing it at rank #21 by market capitalisation among all listed digital assets. Aptos's current market cap stands at $691.98M, a figure used by traders, analysts and institutional desks to gauge relative liquidity and risk exposure across the crypto market.

On this page you'll find a live, daily-refreshed dashboard tracking Aptos across multiple data sources — price history going back several years, on-chain activity where available, fundamentals like circulating supply and dilution, top exchanges by volume, technical analysis using moving averages and RSI, and an algorithmic short, mid and long-term forecast. All figures are pulled from public APIs and cached locally; nothing here is investment advice.

Aptos positions itself as a general-purpose chain for decentralized applications. The investment thesis rests on ecosystem traction: active addresses, application total-value-locked, and developer mindshare, balanced against the throughput-versus-decentralisation compromises baked into its consensus.

By market value, Aptos sits at rank #85 — a top-100 asset. About 57% of the maximum APT supply is in circulation today (1.20B of 2.10B), leaving a moderate emission stream still to come. It currently trades about 97% below its all-time high of $19.95 set in January 2023.

Under the hood, Aptos is a smart-contract Layer-1 using staked validators rather than mining to reach consensus. Validators put the token at risk as a bond, the protocol selects them to order transactions, and fees plus issuance reward honest participation. Developers deploy contracts that this validator set then executes.

By market value, Aptos sits at rank #85 — a top-100 asset. About 57% of the maximum APT supply is in circulation today (1.20B of 2.10B), leaving a moderate emission stream still to come. It currently trades about 97% below its all-time high of $19.95 set in January 2023. Its fully-diluted valuation of $1.19B is about 1.7× the circulating market cap of $691.98M, a gap that signals issuance overhang to factor into any longer-term thesis.

Primary use cases: hosting decentralized applications, native staking for yield, securing the network through validator participation, paying gas for transactions, and serving as base-layer collateral for the DeFi protocols built on the chain.

Daily volume runs at about 4.5% of market capitalisation ($31.03M in the last 24 hours), in the normal band for a coin of this size and supportive of orderly entries and exits.

To read Aptos's tokenomics, look at the issuance schedule, the share of supply already in circulation, and the gap between market cap and fully-diluted valuation. Approximately 57.1% of maximum supply is currently circulating, meaning roughly 42.9% of total potential supply remains to be issued. This implies a structural emission stream against current demand for the asset. The fully diluted valuation (FDV) of $1.2 billion stands at 1.7× the current circulating market cap of $0.7 billion. The wider this ratio, the more issuance overhang the asset faces — a structural headwind on valuation that mature assets like Bitcoin do not face but that early-cycle assets typically do.

The question that matters for a longer-term view is simple: does value accrual (burns, staking-yield reinvestment, deflationary mechanics, growing ecosystem TVL) run ahead of new issuance, or behind it? Ahead, and price can compound quietly; behind, and it leans on continuous fresh demand to soak up the supply.

The macro backdrop for crypto assets is dominated by the Federal Reserve's rate path, the trajectory of dollar liquidity, and the unwind (or non-unwind) of the post-2020 expansion in M2 money supply. Crypto — Bitcoin in particular — has historically responded most strongly to shifts in the global liquidity regime, with risk-on phases coinciding with falling real yields and a softening dollar, and risk-off phases the inverse.

Several traditional markets serve as useful cross-checks: a strong dollar (DXY) has tended to weigh on crypto; rising 10-year Treasury yields raise the cost of holding risk; gold occasionally trades as a parallel hard-money hedge; and US equities frequently move in sympathy with crypto when the driver is liquidity rather than fundamentals.

For Aptos specifically, the macro variable that has empirically led price most often is global crypto-market liquidity — proxied by stablecoin total supply, futures open interest, and exchange volumes. When these expand, APT tends to follow; when they contract, the relationship typically reverses. Given the 90-day BTC correlation of +0.66, APT's near-term macro sensitivity will be similar to Bitcoin's — driven primarily by the same liquidity conditions and risk-asset flows.

Specific risks: validator centralisation, smart-contract risk in the application layer, competitive pressure from rival L1s, regulatory uncertainty around staking rewards, MEV (maximal extractable value) concerns, and dependence on continued developer and user adoption to sustain network value.