OriginTrail
TRAC Rank #209Live price · multi-source dashboard ·
OriginTrail (TRAC) is trading at $0.4808. 24-hour change -1.23%; market cap $240.39M; circulating supply 499,998,223 TRAC. Data as of 2026-10-03 02:10 UTC.
OriginTrail — key facts
- Price
- $0.4808
- 24h change
- -1.23%
- Market cap
- $240.39M
- Market rank
- #209
- 24h volume
- $7.94M
- Circ. supply
- 499,998,223 TRAC
- From all-time high
- -85.2%
- Last updated
How is the market moving today?
Live editorial snapshot — numbers update on every refresh
Today's state: OriginTrail is trading at $0.480783 with a $0.2 billion market capitalization (rank #178). The price moved -1.23% over the past 24 hours and is -5.30% over 7 days; the 30-day move stands at +22.40% and the 90-day at +55.16%.
Position vs cycle: The asset trades deep in the post-peak drawdown regime, more than 70% below its prior cycle high — typical of late-stage bear conditions or assets that have permanently re-rated lower.
Volatility and structure: 30-day realized volatility of 99.0% annualized is high for an asset this size. Our composite multi-horizon Price Strength reads Bullish (67/100), with a constructive multi-horizon profile that includes positive 24-hour and 7-day moves.
How does it score on momentum, value and risk?
Derived metrics composed from multi-horizon data
Composite of 24h/7d/30d/90d/1y returns weighted toward longer horizons.
24h volume / market cap = 3.395%.
Annualized std-dev of daily log returns.
% of all-time high currently held.
Multiple over 52-week low. Log scale.
Across the grid, OriginTrail has lost 1.23% in the past 24 hours; the 7-day reading is 5.30% lower and the 30-day stands 22.40% higher. Across the past year it shows gains of 0.00%, with a mixed multi-horizon profile and no clear directional bias.
The asset currently trades 85.2% below its all-time high, deep in the post-peak drawdown regime where statistical mean-reversion historically matters less than narrative and liquidity flow. 30-day realized volatility sits at 95% annualized — high territory for a crypto asset of this size.
On the liquidity side, OriginTrail presents healthy turnover and adequate exchange coverage. 24-hour trading volume represents 3.395% of market capitalization — our liquidity-health composite scores this as Healthy (79/100). That sits comfortably within the normal top-100 band and is consistent with orderly price discovery.
The 90-day Pearson correlation of TRAC's daily returns versus Bitcoin's is +0.38 — a weak positive relationship. The tie between OriginTrail and Bitcoin is slack over this window, so it tends to add diversification rather than simply amplify BTC.
How has the price performed over time?
% return across 9 horizons — heatmap by magnitude
Data refreshed 7 hours ago · auto-updates daily
Price history table
Last 30 trading days · daily OHLC
| Date | Open | High | Low | Close | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | $0.4346 | $0.5003 | $0.4205 | $0.4377 | +0.71% |
| 2026-10-01 | $0.4235 | $0.5199 | $0.4216 | $0.4351 | +2.74% |
| 2026-09-30 | $0.3762 | $0.4460 | $0.3711 | $0.4253 | +13.05% |
| 2026-09-29 | $0.3749 | $0.3854 | $0.3600 | $0.3754 | +0.13% |
| 2026-09-28 | $0.3734 | $0.3835 | $0.3468 | $0.3762 | +0.75% |
| 2026-09-27 | $0.3677 | $0.3795 | $0.3619 | $0.3742 | +1.77% |
| 2026-09-26 | $0.3823 | $0.3824 | $0.3570 | $0.3677 | -3.82% |
| 2026-09-25 | $0.3730 | $0.4050 | $0.3629 | $0.3825 | +2.55% |
| 2026-09-24 | $0.3442 | $0.3900 | $0.3442 | $0.3730 | +8.37% |
| 2026-09-23 | $0.3648 | $0.3665 | $0.3373 | $0.3439 | -5.73% |
| 2026-09-22 | $0.3630 | $0.3707 | $0.3434 | $0.3658 | +0.77% |
| 2026-09-21 | $0.3352 | $0.3664 | $0.3351 | $0.3626 | +8.17% |
| 2026-09-20 | $0.3493 | $0.3493 | $0.3230 | $0.3368 | -3.58% |
| 2026-09-19 | $0.3434 | $0.3494 | $0.3325 | $0.3494 | +1.75% |
| 2026-09-18 | $0.3333 | $0.3636 | $0.3222 | $0.3438 | +3.15% |
| 2026-09-17 | $0.3074 | $0.3699 | $0.3074 | $0.3333 | +8.43% |
| 2026-09-16 | $0.3069 | $0.3121 | $0.2983 | $0.3073 | +0.13% |
| 2026-09-15 | $0.3350 | $0.3350 | $0.3028 | $0.3068 | -8.42% |
| 2026-09-14 | $0.3232 | $0.3374 | $0.3170 | $0.3374 | +4.39% |
| 2026-09-13 | $0.3240 | $0.3349 | $0.3100 | $0.3208 | -0.99% |
| 2026-09-12 | $0.3443 | $0.3443 | $0.3230 | $0.3240 | -5.90% |
| 2026-09-11 | $0.3111 | $0.3826 | $0.3111 | $0.3443 | +10.67% |
| 2026-09-10 | $0.3152 | $0.3214 | $0.3073 | $0.3094 | -1.84% |
| 2026-09-09 | $0.3393 | $0.3397 | $0.3089 | $0.3169 | -6.60% |
| 2026-09-08 | $0.3499 | $0.3508 | $0.3327 | $0.3386 | -3.23% |
| 2026-09-07 | $0.3426 | $0.3569 | $0.3367 | $0.3493 | +1.96% |
| 2026-09-06 | $0.3277 | $0.3527 | $0.3246 | $0.3430 | +4.67% |
| 2026-09-05 | $0.3274 | $0.3375 | $0.3155 | $0.3276 | +0.06% |
| 2026-09-04 | $0.3409 | $0.3433 | $0.3184 | $0.3273 | -3.99% |
| 2026-09-03 | $0.3210 | $0.3446 | $0.3176 | $0.3409 | +6.20% |
Technical analysis
RSI · MACD · moving averages · Bollinger
- R$0.4416
- R$0.4490
- R$0.4540
- R$0.4548
- S$0.3834
- S$0.4001
- S$0.4095
- S$0.4124
Multi-model price forecast
3-model ensemble · TA + statistical + peer-relative
Per-model breakdown +
| Model | Horizon | Low | Mid | High | Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical | Short | $0.2484 | $0.2790 | $0.3096 | TA composite (ATR + Bollinger + slope) |
| Technical | Mid | $0.2518 | $0.2769 | $0.3161 | TA composite (ATR + Bollinger + slope) |
| Technical | Long | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | TA composite (ATR + Bollinger + slope) |
| Monte Carlo | Short | $0.2946 | $0.3605 | $0.4453 | Monte Carlo on 90d log returns |
| Monte Carlo | Mid | $0.2165 | $0.3385 | $0.5285 | Monte Carlo on 90d log returns |
| Monte Carlo | Long | $0.0735 | $0.2244 | $0.7619 | Monte Carlo on 90d log returns |
| Peer comparison | Short | $0.4215 | $0.4391 | $0.4453 | Peer comparison · 15 peers in same category |
| Peer comparison | Mid | $0.4029 | $0.4091 | $0.4844 | Peer comparison · 15 peers in same category |
| Peer comparison | Long | $0.2735 | $0.3655 | $0.3991 | Peer comparison · 15 peers in same category |
Three independent models feed the forecast above, following the STNews methodology:
- Technical model reads moving-average, ATR, Bollinger-band and trend-slope signals to set its ranges — it carries most weight in an orderly trend or range.
- Statistical (Monte Carlo) model samples the last 90 days of daily log returns to map the 5th, 50th and 95th percentile outcomes at each horizon, giving a trend-agnostic baseline.
- Peer-relative model looks at same-category, similar-cap coins and projects the price implied by matching their median, lower-quartile and upper-quartile return profiles, anchoring the forecast to sector behaviour.
The ensemble forecast shown is a weighted average (40% statistical · 30% technical · 30% peer-relative). The confidence badge reflects how closely the three models agree: tighter agreement → higher confidence; wider disagreement → lower confidence, indicating that the asset is in a regime where statistical models alone are unreliable.
Cross-asset correlations (90d)
Pearson correlation of daily log returns vs top L1 references
Beyond Bitcoin, TRAC's 90-day return correlations to the other two largest layer-1 references help characterize whether the asset moves as part of a crypto-market beta complex or as something more idiosyncratic. The Pearson correlations across daily log returns:
- Bitcoin reference: +0.43 — a moderate positive relationship.
- Ethereum reference: +0.42 — a moderate positive relationship.
- Solana reference: +0.48 — a moderate positive relationship.
Strong correlation to multiple references typically indicates that the asset trades primarily as crypto-market beta — moves in BTC/ETH/SOL drive most of the price action, and stand-alone alpha is harder to capture. Weak or negative correlations indicate idiosyncratic drivers (project-specific news, sector rotation within crypto, or narrative shifts) that can produce returns uncorrelated with the broader market.
About OriginTrail
OriginTrail (TRAC) is a cryptocurrency, traded on global digital-asset markets. It trades at $0.4808 as of the latest update, with a 24-hour move down 1.23%, placing it at rank #209 by market capitalisation among all listed digital assets. OriginTrail's current market cap stands at $240.39M, a figure used by traders, analysts and institutional desks to gauge relative liquidity and risk exposure across the crypto market.
On this page you'll find a live, daily-refreshed dashboard tracking OriginTrail across multiple data sources — price history going back several years, on-chain activity where available, fundamentals like circulating supply and dilution, top exchanges by volume, technical analysis using moving averages and RSI, and an algorithmic short, mid and long-term forecast. All figures are pulled from public APIs and cached locally; nothing here is investment advice.
OriginTrail (TRAC) is a cryptocurrency traded on global digital-asset markets. Its specific role depends on the protocol and ecosystem built around it — the data and market sections on this page describe what can be measured directly from on-chain and exchange activity.
OriginTrail currently ranks #178 by market capitalisation, making it a mid-cap asset in the broad top 250. Essentially all of the TRAC supply is already issued — roughly 500.00M of a 500.00M cap are in circulation — so future inflation is a non-factor. It currently trades about 85% below its all-time high of $3.24 set in November 2021.
By market value OriginTrail (TRAC) ranks in the broad top 250, trading at $0.4807830 as of the latest snapshot. TRAC is -1.23% over 24 hours, -5.30% over the past week, +22.40% over 30 days, putting it among the weekly underperformers across the top 250 by market capitalisation. OriginTrail remains roughly 85% beneath its all-time high of $3.24, a level first printed in November 2021. Effectively the entire TRAC supply is already in circulation, with 500.00M tokens against a hard cap of 500.00M — making future issuance a non-factor for valuation.
Trading volume is light versus market value — only about 3.3% of capitalisation changes hands daily — so larger orders can move price more than they would for higher-liquidity peers.
How it works — OriginTrail
OriginTrail settles on a public blockchain, with ownership recorded against cryptographic addresses rather than personal identities. Its supply schedule and core parameters are defined in software and changed only by coordination among the people who run the network — there is no central operator.
OriginTrail currently ranks #178 by market capitalisation, making it a mid-cap asset in the broad top 250. Essentially all of the TRAC supply is already issued — roughly 500.00M of a 500.00M cap are in circulation — so future inflation is a non-factor. It currently trades about 85% below its all-time high of $3.24 set in November 2021.
Use cases — OriginTrail
OriginTrail is used for value transfer, on-chain settlement, and access to whatever application or ecosystem its protocol supports. Because utility varies widely across projects of this kind, the most reliable read on the asset is its market data — liquidity, supply dynamics, and price behaviour — shown elsewhere on this page.
Daily volume runs at about 3.3% of market capitalisation ($7.94M in the last 24 hours), in the normal band for a coin of this size and supportive of orderly entries and exits.
Tokenomics
Supply schedule & distribution
- Circulating supply: 500.00M TRAC — tokens actively trading and held by the public
- Total supply: 500.00M TRAC — all tokens minted to date (including those locked or held by the issuer)
- Max supply: 500.00M TRAC — the protocol-defined upper limit (if any) on lifetime issuance
- Issued to date: 100% of max supply
- Locked / treasury: 0% of total supply
OriginTrail's supply schedule directly affects its long-term inflation rate and, by extension, how dilutive future issuance will be to existing holders. A coin near full dilution behaves very differently from one that still has 60% of its supply waiting to be unlocked.
Supply economics
Issuance pressure, dilution, and structural value accrual
To read OriginTrail's tokenomics, look at the issuance schedule, the share of supply already in circulation, and the gap between market cap and fully-diluted valuation. At over 99% of maximum supply issued, future issuance pressure is effectively zero — the supply curve is now flat, and value accrual must come from network adoption rather than from supply schedule mechanics.
For thesis-building, the relevant question is whether the structural value-accrual mechanism (fee burns, staking-yield reinvestment, deflationary supply mechanics, ecosystem TVL growth) outpaces the structural emission pressure. When it does, the price tends to grind higher over multi-quarter windows even without speculative momentum; when it does not, the asset typically requires consistent narrative-driven demand to absorb the issuance.
Trader's note
Coin-type-aware tactical interpretation
For OriginTrail, the disciplined approach is to anchor decisions to what can be measured directly rather than to assume a specific mechanism the token may not have. Liquidity (how much the order book can absorb), the supply schedule, and momentum across several timeframes are the durable signals here.
Price Strength reads bullish (67/100), and the asset sits 85% from its all-time high. With assets like this the most reliable read is the market data itself — liquidity, supply dynamics and multi-horizon momentum shown elsewhere on this page — because the on-chain utility varies widely from one project to the next. Size positions to the liquidity, not to the narrative.
Markets & exchanges
Top trading pairs by 24h volume
| # | Exchange | Pair | Last price | 24h volume | Trust |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coinbase | TRAC/USD | $0.480783 | $7.94M | A+ |
Initial rows server-rendered from our verified pipeline (coinbase). Data-only. STNews does not place affiliate links here. See our affiliate disclosure.
If you'd bought OriginTrail...
ROI calculator · historical close prices
Calculated on daily close prices. Does not include trading fees, taxes, or staking yields. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Converter
Rate: 1 TRAC = $0.4808
Compared to peers
Price, market cap, volume, supply
| Coin | 7d trend | Price | Market Cap | 24h Vol | 24h % | 7d % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OriginTrail
TRAC
|
$0.4808 | $240.39M | $7.94M | -1.23% | -5.30% | |
Bitcoin
BTC
|
$84,625.63 | $1.70T | $29.56B | -1.97% | -4.60% | |
Ethereum
ETH
|
$2,682.41 | $328.26B | $12.71B | -2.80% | -5.79% | |
Solana
SOL
|
$119.19 | $64.74B | $2.88B | -1.60% | -13.42% | |
XRP
XRP
|
$1.50 | $89.70B | $4.32B | +0.73% | +2.56% | |
BNB
BNB
|
$578.65 | $80.54B | $771.84M | -0.05% | -3.52% | |
Dogecoin
DOGE
|
$0.0926 | $15.57B | $841.94M | -3.50% | -6.29% | |
Cardano
ADA
|
$0.2437 | $8.72B | $477.13M | -3.94% | -11.45% | |
TRON
TRX
|
$0.3353 | $28.96B | $329.08M | +0.27% | +1.23% |
Market sentiment
Crypto Fear & Greed Index · alternative.me
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index aggregates volatility, market momentum, social media activity, dominance and Google Trends data into a single 0–100 score updated daily. Today's reading is 72 — Greed.
Extreme fear (below 25) historically signals buying opportunities for contrarians, while extreme greed (above 75) often precedes corrections. The index works best as one input among many, not as a standalone trading signal.
Macro & cross-asset context
How macro liquidity and cross-asset moves frame the trade
What sets the macro tone for crypto is the cost and availability of money: where the Fed is steering policy rates, whether dollar liquidity is expanding or draining, and how much risk the market is willing to carry. The asset class has behaved like the high-beta tail of that cycle — first to rally as conditions ease, first to crack when they tighten.
Several traditional markets serve as useful cross-checks: a strong dollar (DXY) has tended to weigh on crypto; rising 10-year Treasury yields raise the cost of holding risk; gold occasionally trades as a parallel hard-money hedge; and US equities frequently move in sympathy with crypto when the driver is liquidity rather than fundamentals.
Zooming in on OriginTrail, the most reliable leading indicator has tended to be crypto-native liquidity itself — aggregate stablecoin supply, open interest in futures, and exchange volume. Rising on-chain liquidity has historically pulled TRAC up; draining liquidity has done the opposite. Given the 90-day BTC correlation of +0.43, TRAC's near-term macro sensitivity will be similar to Bitcoin's — driven primarily by the same liquidity conditions and risk-asset flows.
Risks
General crypto risks apply: high volatility (double-digit daily moves are common), regulatory uncertainty, exchange and custody risk, and project-specific execution risk. With a smaller or less-established asset, liquidity can be thin — meaning larger orders move the price more, and exits during stress can be costly. Size positions accordingly and never commit more than you can afford to lose.
Frequently asked questions
What is OriginTrail (TRAC)? ▾
OriginTrail is a cryptocurrency, traded on global digital-asset markets. It trades under the ticker TRAC and currently has a market capitalisation of $240.39M.
What is the price of TRAC today? ▾
The price of OriginTrail today is $0.4808, refreshed daily from public market data. Live price changes are visible at the top of this page.
What is the maximum supply of OriginTrail? ▾
The protocol caps lifetime issuance of OriginTrail at 500.00M TRAC. This limit is enforced by the network's code and cannot be raised without coordinated upgrades.
What was OriginTrail's all-time high? ▾
OriginTrail's all-time high in USD terms is $3.24. Past performance does not guarantee future returns.
How can I buy OriginTrail? ▾
OriginTrail trades on most major cryptocurrency exchanges. The Markets section above lists the venues with the highest trading volume for the TRAC/USD pair. Always check withdrawal fees, deposit methods, and regulatory status before signing up to any exchange.
Is OriginTrail a good investment? ▾
Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy or sell. Digital-asset prices swing sharply in both directions; treat the figures above as inputs to your own research and your own risk assessment, not as a signal.
Where does the data on this page come from? ▾
Price, supply and exchange data are sourced from public market APIs (including Binance, CoinGecko and CoinPaprika). The Fear & Greed sentiment index comes from alternative.me. All figures are cached locally and refreshed on a regular schedule.
In the news
Headlines from major crypto outlets · refreshed every 6h
OriginTrail’s holder count surges to 27,060 ATH – Here’s what it means for TRAC
TRAC maintains bullish outlook, but overvaluation raises decline risk as holders surge.
OriginTrail hits June highs after 15% surge – Will TRAC extend its rally?
Over 83% of traders are bullish on TRAC, but weakening buying pressure could threaten the rally.
Sourced, Completed, Verified: Apex Fusion Opens Its Settlement Layer for AI Agents
The Apex Fusion Foundation today opened Vector, the neutral settlement, accountability and provenance layer for AI agents within the Apex Fusion ecosystem, to labs, companies, researchers and independent builders. The opening follows eleven months live on mainnet and a pilot with OriginTrail, during which autonomous agents sourced, escrowed, completed and verified more than 20,000 work The post So…
OriginTrail surges 32% as the AI narrative takes over – Can TRAC target $0.4?
TRAC surged 32%, hitting a monthly high of $0.39 before retracing to $0.35.
The information on this page is provided for general educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile; you can lose some or all of your capital. STNews does not recommend that any cryptocurrency should be bought, sold or held by you. Conduct your own due diligence and consult your independent financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Data sources: CoinGecko · CoinPaprika · Binance · DefiLlama · alternative.me Fear & Greed Index · Editorial standards: /editorial-guidelines · Affiliate disclosure: /affiliate-disclosure
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