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October 3, 2026
OriginTrail

OriginTrail

TRAC Rank #209

Live price · multi-source dashboard ·

$0.4808
▼ -1.23% (24h)

OriginTrail (TRAC) is trading at $0.4808. 24-hour change -1.23%; market cap $240.39M; circulating supply 499,998,223 TRAC. Data as of 2026-10-03 02:10 UTC.

Market cap
$240.39M
24h volume
$7.94M
Circ. supply
500.00M
TRAC
Max supply
500.00M
TRAC
All-time high
$3.24
Nov 2021
52-Week Low
$0.2543
01Snapshot

OriginTrail — key facts

Price
$0.4808
24h change
-1.23%
Market cap
$240.39M
Market rank
#209
24h volume
$7.94M
Circ. supply
499,998,223 TRAC
From all-time high
-85.2%
Last updated

How is the market moving today?

Live editorial snapshot — numbers update on every refresh

Today's state: OriginTrail is trading at $0.480783 with a $0.2 billion market capitalization (rank #178). The price moved -1.23% over the past 24 hours and is -5.30% over 7 days; the 30-day move stands at +22.40% and the 90-day at +55.16%.

Position vs cycle: The asset trades deep in the post-peak drawdown regime, more than 70% below its prior cycle high — typical of late-stage bear conditions or assets that have permanently re-rated lower.

Volatility and structure: 30-day realized volatility of 99.0% annualized is high for an asset this size. Our composite multi-horizon Price Strength reads Bullish (67/100), with a constructive multi-horizon profile that includes positive 24-hour and 7-day moves.

How does it score on momentum, value and risk?

Derived metrics composed from multi-horizon data

Price strength
52/100
Neutral

Composite of 24h/7d/30d/90d/1y returns weighted toward longer horizons.

Liquidity
79/100
Healthy

24h volume / market cap = 3.395%.

Volatility (30d)
95%
High

Annualized std-dev of daily log returns.

BTC correlation (90d)
+0.38
Weak link
-10+1
From ATH
-85.2%
15%

% of all-time high currently held.

From ATL
1.9×
1.9x

Multiple over 52-week low. Log scale.

Across the grid, OriginTrail has lost 1.23% in the past 24 hours; the 7-day reading is 5.30% lower and the 30-day stands 22.40% higher. Across the past year it shows gains of 0.00%, with a mixed multi-horizon profile and no clear directional bias.

The asset currently trades 85.2% below its all-time high, deep in the post-peak drawdown regime where statistical mean-reversion historically matters less than narrative and liquidity flow. 30-day realized volatility sits at 95% annualized — high territory for a crypto asset of this size.

On the liquidity side, OriginTrail presents healthy turnover and adequate exchange coverage. 24-hour trading volume represents 3.395% of market capitalization — our liquidity-health composite scores this as Healthy (79/100). That sits comfortably within the normal top-100 band and is consistent with orderly price discovery.

The 90-day Pearson correlation of TRAC's daily returns versus Bitcoin's is +0.38 — a weak positive relationship. The tie between OriginTrail and Bitcoin is slack over this window, so it tends to add diversification rather than simply amplify BTC.

How has the price performed over time?

% return across 9 horizons — heatmap by magnitude

1H
-4.87%
24H
-1.23%
7D
-5.30%
30D
+22.40%
3M
+55.16%
6M
+60.31%
1Y
+0.00%
ATH
-85.16%
from ATH
ATL
1.9×
from ATL
02Price

Price chart

USD · daily candles · CoinGecko + Binance

Data refreshed 7 hours ago · auto-updates daily

Price history table

Last 30 trading days · daily OHLC

Date Open High Low Close Change
2026-10-02 $0.4346 $0.5003 $0.4205 $0.4377 +0.71%
2026-10-01 $0.4235 $0.5199 $0.4216 $0.4351 +2.74%
2026-09-30 $0.3762 $0.4460 $0.3711 $0.4253 +13.05%
2026-09-29 $0.3749 $0.3854 $0.3600 $0.3754 +0.13%
2026-09-28 $0.3734 $0.3835 $0.3468 $0.3762 +0.75%
2026-09-27 $0.3677 $0.3795 $0.3619 $0.3742 +1.77%
2026-09-26 $0.3823 $0.3824 $0.3570 $0.3677 -3.82%
2026-09-25 $0.3730 $0.4050 $0.3629 $0.3825 +2.55%
2026-09-24 $0.3442 $0.3900 $0.3442 $0.3730 +8.37%
2026-09-23 $0.3648 $0.3665 $0.3373 $0.3439 -5.73%
2026-09-22 $0.3630 $0.3707 $0.3434 $0.3658 +0.77%
2026-09-21 $0.3352 $0.3664 $0.3351 $0.3626 +8.17%
2026-09-20 $0.3493 $0.3493 $0.3230 $0.3368 -3.58%
2026-09-19 $0.3434 $0.3494 $0.3325 $0.3494 +1.75%
2026-09-18 $0.3333 $0.3636 $0.3222 $0.3438 +3.15%
2026-09-17 $0.3074 $0.3699 $0.3074 $0.3333 +8.43%
2026-09-16 $0.3069 $0.3121 $0.2983 $0.3073 +0.13%
2026-09-15 $0.3350 $0.3350 $0.3028 $0.3068 -8.42%
2026-09-14 $0.3232 $0.3374 $0.3170 $0.3374 +4.39%
2026-09-13 $0.3240 $0.3349 $0.3100 $0.3208 -0.99%
2026-09-12 $0.3443 $0.3443 $0.3230 $0.3240 -5.90%
2026-09-11 $0.3111 $0.3826 $0.3111 $0.3443 +10.67%
2026-09-10 $0.3152 $0.3214 $0.3073 $0.3094 -1.84%
2026-09-09 $0.3393 $0.3397 $0.3089 $0.3169 -6.60%
2026-09-08 $0.3499 $0.3508 $0.3327 $0.3386 -3.23%
2026-09-07 $0.3426 $0.3569 $0.3367 $0.3493 +1.96%
2026-09-06 $0.3277 $0.3527 $0.3246 $0.3430 +4.67%
2026-09-05 $0.3274 $0.3375 $0.3155 $0.3276 +0.06%
2026-09-04 $0.3409 $0.3433 $0.3184 $0.3273 -3.99%
2026-09-03 $0.3210 $0.3446 $0.3176 $0.3409 +6.20%

Technical analysis

RSI · MACD · moving averages · Bollinger

RSI (14)
70.0
neutral
03070100
MACD signal
Bullish
Histogram: 0.01
Moving averages
MA 50
$0.3365
+30.07%
MA 100
$0.3070
+42.59%
MA 200
$0.3212
+36.27%
Resistance levels
  • R$0.4416
  • R$0.4490
  • R$0.4540
  • R$0.4548
Support levels
  • S$0.3834
  • S$0.4001
  • S$0.4095
  • S$0.4124

Multi-model price forecast

3-model ensemble · TA + statistical + peer-relative

Short term · 24h–7d
Low conf
24–48 hours
Low $0.3188 -33.7%
Mid $0.3596 -25.2%
High $0.4046 -15.8%
Models contributing
Technical · Statistical · Relative
Mid term · 7–30d
Medium conf
7–30 days
Low $0.2830 -41.1%
Mid $0.3412 -29.0%
High $0.4516 -6.1%
Models contributing
Technical · Statistical · Relative
Long term · 3–6mo
Medium conf
3–12 months
Low $0.1053 -78.1%
Mid $0.1947 -59.5%
High $0.4245 -11.7%
Models contributing
Technical · Statistical · Relative
Per-model breakdown +
Model Horizon Low Mid High Method
Technical Short $0.2484 $0.2790 $0.3096 TA composite (ATR + Bollinger + slope)
Technical Mid $0.2518 $0.2769 $0.3161 TA composite (ATR + Bollinger + slope)
Technical Long $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 TA composite (ATR + Bollinger + slope)
Monte Carlo Short $0.2946 $0.3605 $0.4453 Monte Carlo on 90d log returns
Monte Carlo Mid $0.2165 $0.3385 $0.5285 Monte Carlo on 90d log returns
Monte Carlo Long $0.0735 $0.2244 $0.7619 Monte Carlo on 90d log returns
Peer comparison Short $0.4215 $0.4391 $0.4453 Peer comparison · 15 peers in same category
Peer comparison Mid $0.4029 $0.4091 $0.4844 Peer comparison · 15 peers in same category
Peer comparison Long $0.2735 $0.3655 $0.3991 Peer comparison · 15 peers in same category

Three independent models feed the forecast above, following the STNews methodology:

  • Technical model reads moving-average, ATR, Bollinger-band and trend-slope signals to set its ranges — it carries most weight in an orderly trend or range.
  • Statistical (Monte Carlo) model samples the last 90 days of daily log returns to map the 5th, 50th and 95th percentile outcomes at each horizon, giving a trend-agnostic baseline.
  • Peer-relative model looks at same-category, similar-cap coins and projects the price implied by matching their median, lower-quartile and upper-quartile return profiles, anchoring the forecast to sector behaviour.

The ensemble forecast shown is a weighted average (40% statistical · 30% technical · 30% peer-relative). The confidence badge reflects how closely the three models agree: tighter agreement → higher confidence; wider disagreement → lower confidence, indicating that the asset is in a regime where statistical models alone are unreliable.

Disclaimer: These forecasts are algorithmic estimates derived from public price data using moving averages, Bollinger bands, Monte Carlo simulation of historical log returns, and peer-group comparison. They are not investment advice and should not be used to make trading decisions. Cryptocurrency is highly volatile and can lose all value. Past performance does not guarantee future returns. See our forecast methodology for full details.
03On-chain

Cross-asset correlations (90d)

Pearson correlation of daily log returns vs top L1 references

Bitcoin
+0.43
Moderate
-10+1
Ethereum
+0.42
Moderate
-10+1
Solana
+0.48
Moderate
-10+1

Beyond Bitcoin, TRAC's 90-day return correlations to the other two largest layer-1 references help characterize whether the asset moves as part of a crypto-market beta complex or as something more idiosyncratic. The Pearson correlations across daily log returns:

  • Bitcoin reference: +0.43 — a moderate positive relationship.
  • Ethereum reference: +0.42 — a moderate positive relationship.
  • Solana reference: +0.48 — a moderate positive relationship.

Strong correlation to multiple references typically indicates that the asset trades primarily as crypto-market beta — moves in BTC/ETH/SOL drive most of the price action, and stand-alone alpha is harder to capture. Weak or negative correlations indicate idiosyncratic drivers (project-specific news, sector rotation within crypto, or narrative shifts) that can produce returns uncorrelated with the broader market.

04Context

About OriginTrail

OriginTrail (TRAC) is a cryptocurrency, traded on global digital-asset markets. It trades at $0.4808 as of the latest update, with a 24-hour move down 1.23%, placing it at rank #209 by market capitalisation among all listed digital assets. OriginTrail's current market cap stands at $240.39M, a figure used by traders, analysts and institutional desks to gauge relative liquidity and risk exposure across the crypto market.

On this page you'll find a live, daily-refreshed dashboard tracking OriginTrail across multiple data sources — price history going back several years, on-chain activity where available, fundamentals like circulating supply and dilution, top exchanges by volume, technical analysis using moving averages and RSI, and an algorithmic short, mid and long-term forecast. All figures are pulled from public APIs and cached locally; nothing here is investment advice.

OriginTrail (TRAC) is a cryptocurrency traded on global digital-asset markets. Its specific role depends on the protocol and ecosystem built around it — the data and market sections on this page describe what can be measured directly from on-chain and exchange activity.

OriginTrail currently ranks #178 by market capitalisation, making it a mid-cap asset in the broad top 250. Essentially all of the TRAC supply is already issued — roughly 500.00M of a 500.00M cap are in circulation — so future inflation is a non-factor. It currently trades about 85% below its all-time high of $3.24 set in November 2021.

STNews Analyst Note

By market value OriginTrail (TRAC) ranks in the broad top 250, trading at $0.4807830 as of the latest snapshot. TRAC is -1.23% over 24 hours, -5.30% over the past week, +22.40% over 30 days, putting it among the weekly underperformers across the top 250 by market capitalisation. OriginTrail remains roughly 85% beneath its all-time high of $3.24, a level first printed in November 2021. Effectively the entire TRAC supply is already in circulation, with 500.00M tokens against a hard cap of 500.00M — making future issuance a non-factor for valuation.

Trading volume is light versus market value — only about 3.3% of capitalisation changes hands daily — so larger orders can move price more than they would for higher-liquidity peers.

How it works — OriginTrail

OriginTrail settles on a public blockchain, with ownership recorded against cryptographic addresses rather than personal identities. Its supply schedule and core parameters are defined in software and changed only by coordination among the people who run the network — there is no central operator.

OriginTrail currently ranks #178 by market capitalisation, making it a mid-cap asset in the broad top 250. Essentially all of the TRAC supply is already issued — roughly 500.00M of a 500.00M cap are in circulation — so future inflation is a non-factor. It currently trades about 85% below its all-time high of $3.24 set in November 2021.

Use cases — OriginTrail

OriginTrail is used for value transfer, on-chain settlement, and access to whatever application or ecosystem its protocol supports. Because utility varies widely across projects of this kind, the most reliable read on the asset is its market data — liquidity, supply dynamics, and price behaviour — shown elsewhere on this page.

Daily volume runs at about 3.3% of market capitalisation ($7.94M in the last 24 hours), in the normal band for a coin of this size and supportive of orderly entries and exits.

Tokenomics

Supply schedule & distribution

Circulating vs locked vs unminted
  • Circulating supply: 500.00M TRAC — tokens actively trading and held by the public
  • Total supply: 500.00M TRAC — all tokens minted to date (including those locked or held by the issuer)
  • Max supply: 500.00M TRAC — the protocol-defined upper limit (if any) on lifetime issuance
  • Issued to date: 100% of max supply
  • Locked / treasury: 0% of total supply

OriginTrail's supply schedule directly affects its long-term inflation rate and, by extension, how dilutive future issuance will be to existing holders. A coin near full dilution behaves very differently from one that still has 60% of its supply waiting to be unlocked.

Supply economics

Issuance pressure, dilution, and structural value accrual

To read OriginTrail's tokenomics, look at the issuance schedule, the share of supply already in circulation, and the gap between market cap and fully-diluted valuation. At over 99% of maximum supply issued, future issuance pressure is effectively zero — the supply curve is now flat, and value accrual must come from network adoption rather than from supply schedule mechanics.

For thesis-building, the relevant question is whether the structural value-accrual mechanism (fee burns, staking-yield reinvestment, deflationary supply mechanics, ecosystem TVL growth) outpaces the structural emission pressure. When it does, the price tends to grind higher over multi-quarter windows even without speculative momentum; when it does not, the asset typically requires consistent narrative-driven demand to absorb the issuance.

Trader's note

Coin-type-aware tactical interpretation

For OriginTrail, the disciplined approach is to anchor decisions to what can be measured directly rather than to assume a specific mechanism the token may not have. Liquidity (how much the order book can absorb), the supply schedule, and momentum across several timeframes are the durable signals here.

Price Strength reads bullish (67/100), and the asset sits 85% from its all-time high. With assets like this the most reliable read is the market data itself — liquidity, supply dynamics and multi-horizon momentum shown elsewhere on this page — because the on-chain utility varies widely from one project to the next. Size positions to the liquidity, not to the narrative.

05Action

Markets & exchanges

Top trading pairs by 24h volume

# Exchange Pair Last price 24h volume Trust
1 Coinbase TRAC/USD $0.480783 $7.94M A+

Initial rows server-rendered from our verified pipeline (coinbase). Data-only. STNews does not place affiliate links here. See our affiliate disclosure.

If you'd bought OriginTrail...

ROI calculator · historical close prices

TRAC Bought
—
at —
Value today
—
at $0.48
Total return
—
—

Calculated on daily close prices. Does not include trading fees, taxes, or staking yields. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Converter

↕

Rate: 1 TRAC = $0.4808

Compared to peers

Price, market cap, volume, supply

Coin7d trendPriceMarket Cap24h Vol24h %7d %
OriginTrail OriginTrail TRAC $0.4808 $240.39M $7.94M -1.23% -5.30%
Bitcoin Bitcoin BTC $84,625.63 $1.70T $29.56B -1.97% -4.60%
Ethereum Ethereum ETH $2,682.41 $328.26B $12.71B -2.80% -5.79%
Solana Solana SOL $119.19 $64.74B $2.88B -1.60% -13.42%
XRP XRP XRP $1.50 $89.70B $4.32B +0.73% +2.56%
BNB BNB BNB $578.65 $80.54B $771.84M -0.05% -3.52%
Dogecoin Dogecoin DOGE $0.0926 $15.57B $841.94M -3.50% -6.29%
Cardano Cardano ADA $0.2437 $8.72B $477.13M -3.94% -11.45%
TRON TRON TRX $0.3353 $28.96B $329.08M +0.27% +1.23%
06Outlook

Market sentiment

Crypto Fear & Greed Index · alternative.me

72
Greed
2026-10-02

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index aggregates volatility, market momentum, social media activity, dominance and Google Trends data into a single 0–100 score updated daily. Today's reading is 72 — Greed.

Extreme fear (below 25) historically signals buying opportunities for contrarians, while extreme greed (above 75) often precedes corrections. The index works best as one input among many, not as a standalone trading signal.

Past 30 days

OriginTrail on X

Latest posts from @origin_trail

Follow
See live OriginTrail posts on X ($TRAC) →
Search $TRAC on X Posts via X · public accounts, not STnews

Macro & cross-asset context

How macro liquidity and cross-asset moves frame the trade

What sets the macro tone for crypto is the cost and availability of money: where the Fed is steering policy rates, whether dollar liquidity is expanding or draining, and how much risk the market is willing to carry. The asset class has behaved like the high-beta tail of that cycle — first to rally as conditions ease, first to crack when they tighten.

Several traditional markets serve as useful cross-checks: a strong dollar (DXY) has tended to weigh on crypto; rising 10-year Treasury yields raise the cost of holding risk; gold occasionally trades as a parallel hard-money hedge; and US equities frequently move in sympathy with crypto when the driver is liquidity rather than fundamentals.

Zooming in on OriginTrail, the most reliable leading indicator has tended to be crypto-native liquidity itself — aggregate stablecoin supply, open interest in futures, and exchange volume. Rising on-chain liquidity has historically pulled TRAC up; draining liquidity has done the opposite. Given the 90-day BTC correlation of +0.43, TRAC's near-term macro sensitivity will be similar to Bitcoin's — driven primarily by the same liquidity conditions and risk-asset flows.

Risks

General crypto risks apply: high volatility (double-digit daily moves are common), regulatory uncertainty, exchange and custody risk, and project-specific execution risk. With a smaller or less-established asset, liquidity can be thin — meaning larger orders move the price more, and exits during stress can be costly. Size positions accordingly and never commit more than you can afford to lose.

07More

Frequently asked questions

What is OriginTrail (TRAC)? ▾

OriginTrail is a cryptocurrency, traded on global digital-asset markets. It trades under the ticker TRAC and currently has a market capitalisation of $240.39M.

What is the price of TRAC today? ▾

The price of OriginTrail today is $0.4808, refreshed daily from public market data. Live price changes are visible at the top of this page.

What is the maximum supply of OriginTrail? ▾

The protocol caps lifetime issuance of OriginTrail at 500.00M TRAC. This limit is enforced by the network's code and cannot be raised without coordinated upgrades.

What was OriginTrail's all-time high? ▾

OriginTrail's all-time high in USD terms is $3.24. Past performance does not guarantee future returns.

How can I buy OriginTrail? ▾

OriginTrail trades on most major cryptocurrency exchanges. The Markets section above lists the venues with the highest trading volume for the TRAC/USD pair. Always check withdrawal fees, deposit methods, and regulatory status before signing up to any exchange.

Is OriginTrail a good investment? ▾

Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy or sell. Digital-asset prices swing sharply in both directions; treat the figures above as inputs to your own research and your own risk assessment, not as a signal.

Where does the data on this page come from? ▾

Price, supply and exchange data are sourced from public market APIs (including Binance, CoinGecko and CoinPaprika). The Fear & Greed sentiment index comes from alternative.me. All figures are cached locally and refreshed on a regular schedule.

In the news

Headlines from major crypto outlets · refreshed every 6h

Disclaimer & data sources

The information on this page is provided for general educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile; you can lose some or all of your capital. STNews does not recommend that any cryptocurrency should be bought, sold or held by you. Conduct your own due diligence and consult your independent financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Data sources: CoinGecko · CoinPaprika · Binance · DefiLlama · alternative.me Fear & Greed Index · Editorial standards: /editorial-guidelines · Affiliate disclosure: /affiliate-disclosure

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