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July 5, 2026
OriginTrail

OriginTrail

TRAC Rank #228

Live price · multi-source dashboard · Updated 14 hours ago

$0.2767
▲ +3.98% (24h)
Market cap
$123.78M
24h volume
$1.37M
Circ. supply
447.27M
TRAC
Max supply
500.00M
TRAC
All-time high
$3.50
Nov 2021
52-Week Low
$0.003853
01Snapshot

OriginTrail — key facts

Price
$0.2767
24h change
+3.98%
Market cap
$123.78M
Market rank
#228
24h volume
$1.37M
Circ. supply
447,274,118 TRAC
From all-time high
-92.1%
Last updated

Market pulse

Live editorial snapshot — numbers update on every refresh

Today's state: OriginTrail is trading at $0.276748 with a $0.1 billion market capitalization (rank #178). The price moved +3.98% over the past 24 hours and is +1.09% over 7 days; the 30-day move stands at -32.25% and the 90-day at -6.01%.

Position vs cycle: The asset trades deep in the post-peak drawdown regime, more than 70% below its prior cycle high — typical of late-stage bear conditions or assets that have permanently re-rated lower.

Volatility and structure: 30-day realized volatility of 82.8% annualized is high for an asset this size. Our composite multi-horizon Price Strength reads Neutral (41/100), with a mixed multi-horizon profile and no clear directional bias.

Composite scorecards

Derived metrics composed from multi-horizon data

Price strength
47/100
Neutral

Composite of 24h/7d/30d/90d/1y returns weighted toward longer horizons.

Liquidity
58/100
Adequate

24h volume / market cap = 0.474%.

Volatility (30d)
139%
Extreme

Annualized std-dev of daily log returns.

BTC correlation (90d)
+0.27
Weak link
-10+1
From ATH
-92.1%
8%

% of all-time high currently held.

From ATL
71.8×
71.8x

Multiple over 52-week low. Log scale.

Across the grid, OriginTrail has gained 3.98% in the past 24 hours; the 7-day reading is 1.09% higher and the 30-day stands 32.25% lower. Across the past year it shows gains of 0.00%, with a mixed multi-horizon profile and no clear directional bias.

The asset currently trades 92.1% below its all-time high, deep in the post-peak drawdown regime where statistical mean-reversion historically matters less than narrative and liquidity flow. 30-day realized volatility sits at 139% annualized — extreme territory for a crypto asset of this size.

On the liquidity side, OriginTrail presents adequate turnover sufficient for retail-sized entries. 24-hour trading volume represents 0.474% of market capitalization — our liquidity-health composite scores this as Adequate (58/100). This is on the lighter end of the top-100 range; large orders should be sliced into the market rather than executed at once.

The 90-day Pearson correlation of TRAC's daily returns versus Bitcoin's is +0.27 — a weak positive relationship. The tie between OriginTrail and Bitcoin is slack over this window, so it tends to add diversification rather than simply amplify BTC.

Performance grid

% return across 9 horizons — heatmap by magnitude

1H
-4.87%
24H
+3.98%
7D
+1.09%
30D
-32.25%
3M
-6.01%
6M
-36.16%
1Y
+0.00%
ATH
-92.09%
from ATH
ATL
71.8×
from ATL
02Price

Price chart

USD · daily candles · CoinGecko + Binance

Data refreshed 14 hours ago · auto-updates daily

Price history table

Last 30 trading days · daily OHLC

Date Open High Low Close Change
2026-07-04 $0.2668 $0.2838 $0.2644 $0.2768 +3.74%
2026-07-03 $0.2537 $0.2669 $0.2537 $0.2604 +2.63%
2026-07-02 $0.2551 $0.2602 $0.2513 $0.2519 -1.26%
2026-07-01 $0.2638 $0.2655 $0.2537 $0.2555 -3.16%
2026-06-30 $0.2683 $0.2759 $0.2650 $0.2650 -1.22%
2026-06-29 $0.2738 $0.2738 $0.2671 $0.2700 -1.39%
2026-06-28 $0.2724 $0.2839 $0.2694 $0.2734 +0.39%
2026-06-27 $0.2756 $0.2804 $0.2644 $0.2719 -1.37%
2026-06-26 $0.2959 $0.2959 $0.2657 $0.2694 -8.95%
2026-06-25 $0.2827 $0.2959 $0.2710 $0.2717 -3.89%
2026-06-24 $0.2994 $0.2994 $0.2873 $0.2900 -3.13%
2026-06-23 $0.3088 $0.3123 $0.2950 $0.2987 -3.27%
2026-06-22 $0.3378 $0.3410 $0.3326 $0.3343 -1.04%
2026-06-21 $0.3387 $0.3462 $0.3387 $0.3389 +0.05%
2026-06-20 $0.3478 $0.3483 $0.3383 $0.3462 -0.47%
2026-06-19 $0.3543 $0.3686 $0.3375 $0.3468 -2.12%
2026-06-18 $0.3504 $0.3984 $0.3470 $0.3524 +0.57%
2026-06-17 $0.3600 $0.3640 $0.3438 $0.3502 -2.72%
2026-06-16 $0.3740 $0.3740 $0.3577 $0.3607 -3.56%
2026-06-15 $0.3766 $0.4000 $0.3615 $0.3737 -0.77%
2026-06-14 $0.3722 $0.3800 $0.3592 $0.3800 +2.10%
2026-06-13 $0.3660 $0.3750 $0.3575 $0.3722 +1.69%
2026-06-12 $0.3573 $0.3660 $0.3440 $0.3660 +2.43%
2026-06-11 $0.3486 $0.3599 $0.3354 $0.3565 +2.27%
2026-06-10 $0.3516 $0.3516 $0.3340 $0.3483 -0.94%
2026-06-09 $0.3886 $0.3941 $0.3380 $0.3528 -9.21%
2026-06-08 $0.3609 $0.4086 $0.3609 $0.3887 +7.70%
2026-06-07 $0.3396 $0.3630 $0.3339 $0.3608 +6.24%
2026-06-06 $0.3585 $0.3737 $0.3263 $0.3411 -4.85%
2026-06-05 $0.3956 $0.4161 $0.3363 $0.3583 -9.43%

Technical analysis

RSI · MACD · moving averages · Bollinger

RSI (14)
39.0
neutral
03070100
MACD signal
Bearish
Histogram: 0.00
Moving averages
MA 50
$0.3516
-21.28%
MA 100
$0.3310
-16.36%
MA 200
$0.3467
-20.16%
Resistance levels
  • R$0.3092
  • R$0.3215
  • R$0.3232
  • R$0.3386
Support levels
  • S$0.2601
  • S$0.2644
  • S$0.2756

Multi-model price forecast

3-model ensemble · TA + statistical + peer-relative

Short term · 24h–7d
Medium conf
24–48 hours
Low $0.2811 +1.6%
Mid $0.3376 +22.0%
High $0.4077 +47.3%
Models contributing
Technical · Statistical · Relative
Mid term · 7–30d
Medium conf
7–30 days
Low $0.2675 -3.4%
Mid $0.3459 +25.0%
High $0.4742 +71.4%
Models contributing
Technical · Statistical · Relative
Long term · 3–6mo
Very Low conf
3–12 months
Low $0.2095 -24.3%
Mid $0.3709 +34.0%
High $0.7832 +183.0%
Models contributing
Technical · Statistical · Relative
Per-model breakdown +
Model Horizon Low Mid High Method
Technical Short $0.2726 $0.3540 $0.4353 TA composite (ATR + Bollinger + slope)
Technical Mid $0.3041 $0.3722 $0.4778 TA composite (ATR + Bollinger + slope)
Technical Long $0.3784 $0.5406 $0.7028 TA composite (ATR + Bollinger + slope)
Monte Carlo Short $0.2704 $0.3415 $0.4314 Monte Carlo on 90d log returns
Monte Carlo Mid $0.2130 $0.3453 $0.5599 Monte Carlo on 90d log returns
Monte Carlo Long $0.1136 $0.3711 $1.21 Monte Carlo on 90d log returns
Peer comparison Short $0.3040 $0.3159 $0.3485 Peer comparison · 15 peers in same category
Peer comparison Mid $0.3034 $0.3205 $0.3563 Peer comparison · 15 peers in same category
Peer comparison Long $0.1685 $0.2009 $0.2913 Peer comparison · 15 peers in same category

Three independent models feed the forecast above, following the STNews methodology:

  • Technical model reads moving-average, ATR, Bollinger-band and trend-slope signals to set its ranges — it carries most weight in an orderly trend or range.
  • Statistical (Monte Carlo) model samples the last 90 days of daily log returns to map the 5th, 50th and 95th percentile outcomes at each horizon, giving a trend-agnostic baseline.
  • Peer-relative model looks at same-category, similar-cap coins and projects the price implied by matching their median, lower-quartile and upper-quartile return profiles, anchoring the forecast to sector behaviour.

The ensemble forecast shown is a weighted average (40% statistical · 30% technical · 30% peer-relative). The confidence badge reflects how closely the three models agree: tighter agreement → higher confidence; wider disagreement → lower confidence, indicating that the asset is in a regime where statistical models alone are unreliable.

Disclaimer: These forecasts are algorithmic estimates derived from public price data using moving averages, Bollinger bands, Monte Carlo simulation of historical log returns, and peer-group comparison. They are not investment advice and should not be used to make trading decisions. Cryptocurrency is highly volatile and can lose all value. Past performance does not guarantee future returns. See our forecast methodology for full details.
03On-chain

Cross-asset correlations (90d)

Pearson correlation of daily log returns vs top L1 references

Bitcoin
+0.26
Weak
-10+1
Ethereum
+0.33
Weak
-10+1
Solana
+0.28
Weak
-10+1

Beyond Bitcoin, TRAC's 90-day return correlations to the other two largest layer-1 references help characterize whether the asset moves as part of a crypto-market beta complex or as something more idiosyncratic. The Pearson correlations across daily log returns:

  • Bitcoin reference: +0.26 — a weak positive relationship.
  • Ethereum reference: +0.33 — a weak positive relationship.
  • Solana reference: +0.28 — a weak positive relationship.

Strong correlation to multiple references typically indicates that the asset trades primarily as crypto-market beta — moves in BTC/ETH/SOL drive most of the price action, and stand-alone alpha is harder to capture. Weak or negative correlations indicate idiosyncratic drivers (project-specific news, sector rotation within crypto, or narrative shifts) that can produce returns uncorrelated with the broader market.

04Context

About OriginTrail

OriginTrail (TRAC) is a cryptocurrency, traded on global digital-asset markets. It trades at $0.2767 as of the latest update, with a 24-hour move up 3.98%, placing it at rank #228 by market capitalisation among all listed digital assets. OriginTrail's current market cap stands at $123.78M, a figure used by traders, analysts and institutional desks to gauge relative liquidity and risk exposure across the crypto market.

On this page you'll find a live, daily-refreshed dashboard tracking OriginTrail across multiple data sources — price history going back several years, on-chain activity where available, fundamentals like circulating supply and dilution, top exchanges by volume, technical analysis using moving averages and RSI, and an algorithmic short, mid and long-term forecast. All figures are pulled from public APIs and cached locally; nothing here is investment advice.

OriginTrail (TRAC) is a cryptocurrency traded on global digital-asset markets. Its specific role depends on the protocol and ecosystem built around it — the data and market sections on this page describe what can be measured directly from on-chain and exchange activity.

OriginTrail currently ranks #178 by market capitalisation, making it a mid-cap asset in the broad top 250. About 89% of the maximum TRAC supply is in circulation today (447.27M of 500.00M), leaving a moderate emission stream still to come. It currently trades about 92% below its all-time high of $3.50 set in November 2021, while sitting roughly 71.8× above its record low.

STNews Analyst Note

By market value OriginTrail (TRAC) ranks in the broad top 250, trading at $0.2767480 as of the latest snapshot. TRAC is +3.98% over 24 hours, +1.09% over the past week, -32.25% over 30 days, putting it in the upper half of weekly performers across the top 250 by market capitalisation. OriginTrail remains roughly 92% beneath its all-time high of $3.50, a level first printed in November 2021. Roughly 89% of TRAC's total supply is liquid today (447.27M of 500.00M), with the balance scheduled for gradual release over time.

Trading volume is light versus market value — only about 1.1% of capitalisation changes hands daily — so larger orders can move price more than they would for higher-liquidity peers.

How it works — OriginTrail

OriginTrail settles on a public blockchain, with ownership recorded against cryptographic addresses rather than personal identities. Its supply schedule and core parameters are defined in software and changed only by coordination among the people who run the network — there is no central operator.

OriginTrail currently ranks #178 by market capitalisation, making it a mid-cap asset in the broad top 250. About 89% of the maximum TRAC supply is in circulation today (447.27M of 500.00M), leaving a moderate emission stream still to come. It currently trades about 92% below its all-time high of $3.50 set in November 2021, while sitting roughly 71.8× above its record low.

Use cases — OriginTrail

OriginTrail is used for value transfer, on-chain settlement, and access to whatever application or ecosystem its protocol supports. Because utility varies widely across projects of this kind, the most reliable read on the asset is its market data — liquidity, supply dynamics, and price behaviour — shown elsewhere on this page.

Daily volume runs at about 1.1% of market capitalisation ($1.37M in the last 24 hours), in the normal band for a coin of this size and supportive of orderly entries and exits.

Tokenomics

Supply schedule & distribution

Circulating vs locked vs unminted
  • Circulating supply: 447.27M TRAC — tokens actively trading and held by the public
  • Total supply: 500.00M TRAC — all tokens minted to date (including those locked or held by the issuer)
  • Max supply: 500.00M TRAC — the protocol-defined upper limit (if any) on lifetime issuance
  • Issued to date: 89.5% of max supply
  • Locked / treasury: 10.5% of total supply

OriginTrail's supply schedule directly affects its long-term inflation rate and, by extension, how dilutive future issuance will be to existing holders. A coin near full dilution behaves very differently from one that still has 60% of its supply waiting to be unlocked.

Supply economics

Issuance pressure, dilution, and structural value accrual

To read OriginTrail's tokenomics, look at the issuance schedule, the share of supply already in circulation, and the gap between market cap and fully-diluted valuation. At 89.5% of maximum supply already issued, the remaining issuance is a relatively small fraction of total potential supply. Sell pressure from future issuance is therefore limited. The fully diluted valuation (FDV) of $0.1 billion stands at 1.1× the current circulating market cap of $0.1 billion. The wider this ratio, the more issuance overhang the asset faces — a structural headwind on valuation that mature assets like Bitcoin do not face but that early-cycle assets typically do.

For thesis-building, the relevant question is whether the structural value-accrual mechanism (fee burns, staking-yield reinvestment, deflationary supply mechanics, ecosystem TVL growth) outpaces the structural emission pressure. When it does, the price tends to grind higher over multi-quarter windows even without speculative momentum; when it does not, the asset typically requires consistent narrative-driven demand to absorb the issuance.

Trader's note

Coin-type-aware tactical interpretation

For OriginTrail, the disciplined approach is to anchor decisions to what can be measured directly rather than to assume a specific mechanism the token may not have. Liquidity (how much the order book can absorb), the supply schedule, and momentum across several timeframes are the durable signals here.

Price Strength reads neutral (41/100), and the asset sits 92% from its all-time high. With assets like this the most reliable read is the market data itself — liquidity, supply dynamics and multi-horizon momentum shown elsewhere on this page — because the on-chain utility varies widely from one project to the next. Size positions to the liquidity, not to the narrative.

05Action

Markets & exchanges

Top trading pairs by 24h volume

# Exchange Pair Last price 24h volume Trust
1 Coinbase TRAC/USD $0.276748 $1.37M A+

Initial rows server-rendered from our verified pipeline (coinbase). Data-only. STNews does not place affiliate links here. See our affiliate disclosure.

If you'd bought OriginTrail...

ROI calculator · historical close prices

TRAC Bought
at
Value today
at $0.28
Total return

Calculated on daily close prices. Does not include trading fees, taxes, or staking yields. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Converter

Rate: 1 TRAC = $0.2767

Compared to peers

Price, market cap, volume, supply

Coin7d trendPriceMarket Cap24h Vol24h %7d %
OriginTrail OriginTrail TRAC $0.2767 $123.78M $1.37M +3.98% +1.09%
Bitcoin Bitcoin BTC $63,138.01 $1.26T $16.27B +0.75% -4.60%
Ethereum Ethereum ETH $1,780.31 $214.86B $6.31B +1.17% -5.79%
Solana Solana SOL $81.75 $48.12B $1.50B -0.79% -13.42%
XRP XRP XRP $1.17 $70.47B $2.54B +4.43% +2.56%
BNB BNB BNB $575.23 $80.06B $374.28M +0.16% -3.52%
Dogecoin Dogecoin DOGE $0.0777 $11.52B $480.98M +0.27% -6.29%
Cardano Cardano ADA $0.1917 $8.63B $598.04M +6.80% -11.45%
TRON TRON TRX $0.3253 $28.09B $254.60M +0.62% +1.23%
06Outlook

Market sentiment

Crypto Fear & Greed Index · alternative.me

22
Extreme Fear
2026-07-04

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index aggregates volatility, market momentum, social media activity, dominance and Google Trends data into a single 0–100 score updated daily. Today's reading is 22 — Extreme Fear.

Extreme fear (below 25) historically signals buying opportunities for contrarians, while extreme greed (above 75) often precedes corrections. The index works best as one input among many, not as a standalone trading signal.

Past 30 days

OriginTrail on X

Live community discussion

See live OriginTrail posts on X ($TRAC) →
Search $TRAC on X Posts via X · public accounts, not STnews

Macro & cross-asset context

How macro liquidity and cross-asset moves frame the trade

What sets the macro tone for crypto is the cost and availability of money: where the Fed is steering policy rates, whether dollar liquidity is expanding or draining, and how much risk the market is willing to carry. The asset class has behaved like the high-beta tail of that cycle — first to rally as conditions ease, first to crack when they tighten.

Several traditional markets serve as useful cross-checks: a strong dollar (DXY) has tended to weigh on crypto; rising 10-year Treasury yields raise the cost of holding risk; gold occasionally trades as a parallel hard-money hedge; and US equities frequently move in sympathy with crypto when the driver is liquidity rather than fundamentals.

Zooming in on OriginTrail, the most reliable leading indicator has tended to be crypto-native liquidity itself — aggregate stablecoin supply, open interest in futures, and exchange volume. Rising on-chain liquidity has historically pulled TRAC up; draining liquidity has done the opposite. With a comparatively loose 90-day BTC correlation of +0.26, TRAC has shown more idiosyncratic price behaviour than the average large-cap — its own catalysts can matter as much as the broad liquidity tide.

Risks

General crypto risks apply: high volatility (double-digit daily moves are common), regulatory uncertainty, exchange and custody risk, and project-specific execution risk. With a smaller or less-established asset, liquidity can be thin — meaning larger orders move the price more, and exits during stress can be costly. Size positions accordingly and never commit more than you can afford to lose.

07More

Frequently asked questions

What is OriginTrail (TRAC)?

OriginTrail is a cryptocurrency, traded on global digital-asset markets. It trades under the ticker TRAC and currently has a market capitalisation of $123.78M.

What is the price of TRAC today?

The price of OriginTrail today is $0.2767, refreshed daily from public market data. Live price changes are visible at the top of this page.

What is the maximum supply of OriginTrail?

The protocol caps lifetime issuance of OriginTrail at 500.00M TRAC. This limit is enforced by the network's code and cannot be raised without coordinated upgrades.

What was OriginTrail\'s all-time high?

OriginTrail's all-time high in USD terms is $3.50. Past performance does not guarantee future returns.

How can I buy OriginTrail?

OriginTrail trades on most major cryptocurrency exchanges. The Markets section above lists the venues with the highest trading volume for the TRAC/USD pair. Always check withdrawal fees, deposit methods, and regulatory status before signing up to any exchange.

Is OriginTrail a good investment?

Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy or sell. Digital-asset prices swing sharply in both directions; treat the figures above as inputs to your own research and your own risk assessment, not as a signal.

Where does the data on this page come from?

Price, supply and exchange data are sourced from public market APIs (including Binance, CoinGecko and CoinPaprika). The Fear & Greed sentiment index comes from alternative.me. All figures are cached locally and refreshed on a regular schedule.

In the news

Headlines from major crypto outlets · refreshed every 6h

Disclaimer & data sources

The information on this page is provided for general educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile; you can lose some or all of your capital. STNews does not recommend that any cryptocurrency should be bought, sold or held by you. Conduct your own due diligence and consult your independent financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Data sources: CoinGecko · CoinPaprika · Binance · DefiLlama · alternative.me Fear & Greed Index · Editorial standards: /editorial-guidelines · Affiliate disclosure: /affiliate-disclosure

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