Litecoin

Today's state: Litecoin is trading at $42.36 with a $3.3 billion market capitalization (rank #33). The price moved -0.40% over the past 24 hours and is -8.92% over 7 days; the 30-day move stands at -3.63% and the 90-day at -22.07%.

Position vs cycle: The asset trades deep in the post-peak drawdown regime, more than 70% below its prior cycle high — typical of late-stage bear conditions or assets that have permanently re-rated lower.

Volatility and structure: 30-day realized volatility of 51.5% annualized is moderate for an asset this size. Our composite multi-horizon Price Strength reads Bearish (27/100), against a softening backdrop, with pressure stacking up over the 30- and 90-day windows.

Litecoin follows a halving cycle similar in mechanism to Bitcoin's — the block reward is cut on a predictable schedule, producing periodic supply-side compression. While LTC's cycle dynamics have historically tracked Bitcoin's broader rhythm rather than producing fully independent cycles, the halving events themselves have produced meaningful price-action inflection points in past cycles.

For PoW chains other than Bitcoin, the relevant tactical question is generally not "does the halving alone drive a bull cycle?" but rather "does the broader crypto cycle, plus the halving's supply compression, plus any chain-specific narrative produce a structural setup?" When all three align, multi-month outperformance versus Bitcoin has been the historical pattern.

Beyond Bitcoin, LTC's 90-day return correlations to the other two largest layer-1 references help characterize whether the asset moves as part of a crypto-market beta complex or as something more idiosyncratic. The Pearson correlations across daily log returns:

• Bitcoin reference: +0.73 — a strong positive relationship.
• Ethereum reference: +0.74 — a strong positive relationship.
• Solana reference: +0.82 — a very strong positive relationship.

When an asset correlates strongly with multiple majors, it is trading largely as market beta — the big caps set the direction and standalone outperformance is elusive. Weak or negative correlations instead signal idiosyncratic forces (its own news, sector rotation, narrative changes) capable of producing returns the broader market does not share.

Litecoin (LTC) is a Layer-1 cryptocurrency, running on its own independent blockchain network. It trades at $42.36 as of the latest update, with a 24-hour move down 0.40%, placing it at rank #16 by market capitalisation among all listed digital assets. Litecoin's current market cap stands at $3.27B, a figure used by traders, analysts and institutional desks to gauge relative liquidity and risk exposure across the crypto market.

On this page you'll find a live, daily-refreshed dashboard tracking Litecoin across multiple data sources — price history going back several years, on-chain activity where available, fundamentals like circulating supply and dilution, top exchanges by volume, technical analysis using moving averages and RSI, and an algorithmic short, mid and long-term forecast. All figures are pulled from public APIs and cached locally; nothing here is investment advice.

Litecoin is built primarily for payments and value transfer: fast, low-cost settlement of money across the internet, rather than serving as a general-purpose smart-contract platform.

Litecoin (LTC) is a top-50 asset, ranked #33 among all tracked tokens by capitalisation. It operates in the peer-to-peer payments category, and launched in 2011. About 92% of the maximum LTC supply is in circulation today (77.18M of 84.00M), leaving a moderate emission stream still to come. It currently trades about 90% below its all-time high of $412.70 set in May 2021.

Litecoin optimises its consensus and fee model for settlement: transactions confirm quickly and cheaply, and the protocol is deliberately narrower in scope than a smart-contract chain. The relevant adoption signal is payment and settlement usage — transaction counts, corridors served, and integrations — rather than DeFi total value locked.

Litecoin (LTC) is a top-50 asset, ranked #33 among all tracked tokens by capitalisation. It operates in the peer-to-peer payments category, and launched in 2011. About 92% of the maximum LTC supply is in circulation today (77.18M of 84.00M), leaving a moderate emission stream still to come. It currently trades about 90% below its all-time high of $412.70 set in May 2021.

Litecoin is used for peer-to-peer payments, cross-border transfers and remittances, and as a settlement asset where speed and low fees matter more than programmability. Its value case rests on real transactional adoption rather than speculative application activity.

Daily volume runs at about 7.3% of market capitalisation ($239.98M in the last 24 hours), in the normal band for a coin of this size and supportive of orderly entries and exits.

To read Litecoin's tokenomics, look at the issuance schedule, the share of supply already in circulation, and the gap between market cap and fully-diluted valuation. At 91.9% of maximum supply already issued, the remaining issuance is a relatively small fraction of total potential supply. Sell pressure from future issuance is therefore limited. The fully diluted valuation (FDV) of $3.5 billion stands at 1.1× the current circulating market cap of $3.3 billion. The wider this ratio, the more issuance overhang the asset faces — a structural headwind on valuation that mature assets like Bitcoin do not face but that early-cycle assets typically do.

The question that matters for a longer-term view is simple: does value accrual (burns, staking-yield reinvestment, deflationary mechanics, growing ecosystem TVL) run ahead of new issuance, or behind it? Ahead, and price can compound quietly; behind, and it leans on continuous fresh demand to soak up the supply.

At the macro level, the variables that move this asset class most are the direction of US interest rates, the supply of dollar liquidity, and the state of global risk appetite. Crypto has behaved like a long-duration, high-beta risk asset: it tends to rally when real yields fall and the dollar softens, and to sell off when liquidity tightens.

A handful of traditional gauges tend to lead or confirm crypto moves: the dollar index (strength is a headwind), the 10-year yield (the price of risk capital), gold (an occasional fellow-traveller in debasement trades), and the S&P 500 (which often moves with crypto when liquidity, not fundamentals, is in the driver's seat).

Zooming in on Litecoin, the most reliable leading indicator has tended to be crypto-native liquidity itself — aggregate stablecoin supply, open interest in futures, and exchange volume. Rising on-chain liquidity has historically pulled LTC up; draining liquidity has done the opposite. Given the 90-day BTC correlation of +0.73, LTC's near-term macro sensitivity will be similar to Bitcoin's — driven primarily by the same liquidity conditions and risk-asset flows.

Payments-coin risks: competition from stablecoins and from faster or cheaper rails, regulatory treatment of money-transmission, and the challenge of achieving durable real-world payment volume rather than speculative turnover. Market-wide volatility, custody and macro-liquidity risks apply on top.