Arweave
AR Rank #221Live price · multi-source dashboard · Updated 9 hours ago
Arweave — key facts
- Price
- $2.13
- 24h change
- +5.18%
- Market cap
- $139.97M
- Market rank
- #221
- 24h volume
- $10.41M
- Circ. supply
- 65,652,466 AR
- From all-time high
- -97.8%
- Last updated
Market pulse
Live editorial snapshot — numbers update on every refresh
Today's state: Arweave is trading at $2.13 with a $0.1 billion market capitalization (rank #227). The price moved +5.18% over the past 24 hours and is +8.32% over 7 days; the 30-day move stands at -10.20% and the 90-day at +29.21%.
Position vs cycle: Sitting more than 70% under its prior cycle high, the asset is deep in post-peak drawdown territory — a zone associated with late-stage bear phases or a permanent downward re-rating.
Volatility and structure: 30-day realized volatility of 93.2% annualized is high for an asset this size. Our composite multi-horizon Price Strength reads Neutral (41/100), with the timeframes pulling in different directions and no clean directional read.
Composite scorecards
Derived metrics composed from multi-horizon data
Composite of 24h/7d/30d/90d/1y returns weighted toward longer horizons.
24h volume / market cap = 4.191%.
Annualized std-dev of daily log returns.
% of all-time high currently held.
Multiple over 52-week low. Log scale.
Across the grid, Arweave has gained 5.18% in the past 24 hours; the 7-day reading is 8.32% higher and the 30-day stands 10.20% lower. Across the past year it shows gains of 0.00%, with a mixed multi-horizon profile and no clear directional bias.
The asset currently trades 97.8% below its all-time high, deep in the post-peak drawdown regime where statistical mean-reversion historically matters less than narrative and liquidity flow. 30-day realized volatility sits at 110% annualized — extreme territory for a crypto asset of this size.
Right now Arweave is exhibiting deep order books and broad exchange coverage. 24-hour trading volume represents 4.191% of market capitalization — our liquidity-health composite scores this as Deep (85/100). Turnover of this order is unremarkable for a coin this size and points to a reasonably liquid market.
The 90-day Pearson correlation of AR's daily returns versus Bitcoin's is +0.47 — a moderate positive relationship. Arweave is materially correlated with Bitcoin but retains some idiosyncratic price-action. Portfolio diversification benefit is real but limited.
Performance grid
% return across 9 horizons — heatmap by magnitude
Data refreshed 9 hours ago · auto-updates daily
Price history table
Last 30 trading days · daily OHLC
| Date | Open | High | Low | Close | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | $2.03 | $2.14 | $1.99 | $2.14 | +4.97% |
| 2026-07-03 | $2.00 | $2.05 | $2.00 | $2.03 | +1.55% |
| 2026-07-02 | $1.96 | $2.05 | $1.95 | $2.00 | +2.35% |
| 2026-07-01 | $2.00 | $2.06 | $1.92 | $1.96 | -1.95% |
| 2026-06-30 | $2.01 | $2.04 | $1.91 | $2.00 | -0.94% |
| 2026-06-29 | $1.84 | $2.06 | $1.82 | $2.01 | +9.35% |
| 2026-06-28 | $1.83 | $1.87 | $1.80 | $1.84 | +0.88% |
| 2026-06-27 | $1.87 | $1.90 | $1.81 | $1.83 | -2.56% |
| 2026-06-26 | $1.83 | $1.94 | $1.75 | $1.87 | +2.63% |
| 2026-06-25 | $1.89 | $1.97 | $1.75 | $1.82 | -3.24% |
| 2026-06-24 | $2.01 | $2.03 | $1.78 | $1.88 | -6.18% |
| 2026-06-23 | $2.00 | $2.06 | $1.90 | $2.01 | +0.30% |
| 2026-06-22 | $1.96 | $2.04 | $1.96 | $2.00 | +2.46% |
| 2026-06-21 | $2.03 | $2.05 | $1.95 | $1.96 | -3.74% |
| 2026-06-20 | $1.99 | $2.04 | $1.95 | $2.03 | +2.26% |
| 2026-06-19 | $2.05 | $2.07 | $1.96 | $1.99 | -3.12% |
| 2026-06-18 | $1.99 | $2.08 | $1.90 | $2.05 | +3.12% |
| 2026-06-17 | $2.03 | $2.12 | $1.94 | $1.99 | -2.17% |
| 2026-06-16 | $2.05 | $2.10 | $1.99 | $2.03 | -1.02% |
| 2026-06-15 | $2.07 | $2.14 | $2.03 | $2.05 | -0.77% |
| 2026-06-14 | $2.05 | $2.08 | $1.96 | $2.07 | +0.83% |
| 2026-06-13 | $1.90 | $2.08 | $1.90 | $2.05 | +7.90% |
| 2026-06-12 | $1.91 | $1.94 | $1.86 | $1.90 | -0.37% |
| 2026-06-11 | $1.80 | $1.96 | $1.80 | $1.91 | +5.95% |
| 2026-06-10 | $1.93 | $1.96 | $1.76 | $1.80 | -6.99% |
| 2026-06-09 | $1.94 | $2.00 | $1.87 | $1.93 | -0.36% |
| 2026-06-08 | $1.99 | $2.02 | $1.91 | $1.94 | -2.27% |
| 2026-06-07 | $1.87 | $2.06 | $1.87 | $1.99 | +6.15% |
| 2026-06-06 | $1.97 | $2.03 | $1.81 | $1.87 | -4.78% |
| 2026-06-05 | $2.32 | $2.39 | $1.91 | $1.96 | -15.29% |
Technical analysis
RSI · MACD · moving averages · Bollinger
- R$2.14
- R$2.18
- R$2.28
- R$2.31
- S$1.87
- S$1.90
- S$1.97
- S$2.03
Derivatives & leverage
Perpetual-futures positioning from Hyperliquid · AR-PERP
Funding is positive at +11.0%/yr, so long positions are paying shorts — leverage on Hyperliquid is currently skewed bullish. Persistent positive funding can precede long-squeeze pullbacks.
Perpetual-futures data from Hyperliquid, the leading on-chain perp DEX. Funding is paid hourly; a positive rate means long holders pay shorts. Derivatives positioning is informational, not a trade signal.
Multi-model price forecast
3-model ensemble · TA + statistical + peer-relative
Per-model breakdown +
| Model | Horizon | Low | Mid | High | Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical | Short | $1.86 | $2.17 | $2.48 | TA composite (ATR + Bollinger + slope) |
| Technical | Mid | $1.98 | $2.11 | $2.40 | TA composite (ATR + Bollinger + slope) |
| Technical | Long | $2.57 | $3.67 | $4.77 | TA composite (ATR + Bollinger + slope) |
| Monte Carlo | Short | $1.83 | $2.28 | $2.83 | Monte Carlo on 90d log returns |
| Monte Carlo | Mid | $1.56 | $2.44 | $3.82 | Monte Carlo on 90d log returns |
| Monte Carlo | Long | $1.27 | $3.80 | $11.41 | Monte Carlo on 90d log returns |
| Peer comparison | Short | $1.99 | $2.07 | $2.28 | Peer comparison · 15 peers in same category |
| Peer comparison | Mid | $1.99 | $2.10 | $2.33 | Peer comparison · 15 peers in same category |
| Peer comparison | Long | $1.10 | $1.32 | $1.91 | Peer comparison · 15 peers in same category |
The forecast above combines three independent models per the STNews methodology:
- Technical model derives its ranges from moving averages, ATR, Bollinger bands and trend slope, and is most informative when price is cleanly trending or ranging.
- Statistical (Monte Carlo) model samples the last 90 days of daily log returns to map the 5th, 50th and 95th percentile outcomes at each horizon, giving a trend-agnostic baseline.
- Peer-relative model compares against same-category coins of similar market cap, projecting where this asset would trade if it matched the median, lower-quartile and upper-quartile peer return profiles — useful as a sanity check that anchors to broader sector behavior.
The headline ensemble forecast weights the three models 40/30/30 (statistical/technical/peer-relative). Its confidence badge measures how closely they concur — close agreement reads as higher confidence, while divergence reads lower and signals an unreliable, hard-to-model regime.
Cross-asset correlations (90d)
Pearson correlation of daily log returns vs top L1 references
Beyond Bitcoin, AR's 90-day return correlations to the other two largest layer-1 references help characterize whether the asset moves as part of a crypto-market beta complex or as something more idiosyncratic. The Pearson correlations across daily log returns:
- Bitcoin reference: +0.37 — a weak positive relationship.
- Ethereum reference: +0.47 — a moderate positive relationship.
- Solana reference: +0.55 — a moderate positive relationship.
Strong correlation to multiple references typically indicates that the asset trades primarily as crypto-market beta — moves in BTC/ETH/SOL drive most of the price action, and stand-alone alpha is harder to capture. Weak or negative correlations indicate idiosyncratic drivers (project-specific news, sector rotation within crypto, or narrative shifts) that can produce returns uncorrelated with the broader market.
About Arweave
Arweave (AR) is a cryptocurrency, traded on global digital-asset markets. It trades at $2.13 as of the latest update, with a 24-hour move up 5.18%, placing it at rank #221 by market capitalisation among all listed digital assets. Arweave's current market cap stands at $139.97M, a figure used by traders, analysts and institutional desks to gauge relative liquidity and risk exposure across the crypto market.
On this page you'll find a live, daily-refreshed dashboard tracking Arweave across multiple data sources — price history going back several years, on-chain activity where available, fundamentals like circulating supply and dilution, top exchanges by volume, technical analysis using moving averages and RSI, and an algorithmic short, mid and long-term forecast. All figures are pulled from public APIs and cached locally; nothing here is investment advice.
Arweave is infrastructure for storing files on a decentralized network. Its token aligns incentives between people who need durable storage and the operators who supply it, with cryptographic proofs replacing the trust you would otherwise place in a centralized host.
Arweave (AR) is a mid-cap asset in the broad top 250, ranked #227 among all tracked tokens by capitalisation. Its focus is permanent data storage, and launched in 2018. Essentially all of the AR supply is already issued — roughly 65.65M of a 66.00M cap are in circulation — so future inflation is a non-factor. It currently trades about 98% below its all-time high of $97.32 set in August 2021.
By market value Arweave (AR) ranks in the broad top 250, trading at $2.13 as of the latest snapshot. AR is +5.18% over 24 hours, +8.32% over the past week, -10.20% over 30 days, putting it in the upper half of weekly performers across the top 250 by market capitalisation. Arweave remains roughly 98% beneath its all-time high of $97.32, a level first printed in August 2021. Effectively the entire AR supply is already in circulation, with 65.65M tokens against a hard cap of 66.00M — making future issuance a non-factor for valuation.
Trading volume is light versus market value — only about 7.4% of capitalisation changes hands daily — so larger orders can move price more than they would for higher-liquidity peers.
How it works — Arweave
The mechanism behind Arweave rewards verifiable storage, not block production. Storage providers stake collateral, take on storage deals, and must keep answering storage challenges over time to keep earning. This makes the relevant health metric utilised capacity and active deals rather than validator counts.
Arweave (AR) is a mid-cap asset in the broad top 250, ranked #227 among all tracked tokens by capitalisation. Its focus is permanent data storage, and launched in 2018. Essentially all of the AR supply is already issued — roughly 65.65M of a 66.00M cap are in circulation — so future inflation is a non-factor. It currently trades about 98% below its all-time high of $97.32 set in August 2021.
Use cases — Arweave
Typical uses of Arweave are durable, censorship-resistant storage: archiving datasets and web content, hosting media for NFTs and dApps, and keeping backups no single company can take offline. The token is what clients pay and what bonds the providers, so its demand tracks paid storage rather than transaction throughput.
Daily volume runs at about 7.4% of market capitalisation ($10.41M in the last 24 hours), in the normal band for a coin of this size and supportive of orderly entries and exits.
Tokenomics
Supply schedule & distribution
- Circulating supply: 65.65M AR — tokens actively trading and held by the public
- Total supply: 65.65M AR — all tokens minted to date (including those locked or held by the issuer)
- Max supply: 66.00M AR — the protocol-defined upper limit (if any) on lifetime issuance
- Issued to date: 99.5% of max supply
Arweave's supply schedule directly affects its long-term inflation rate and, by extension, how dilutive future issuance will be to existing holders. A coin near full dilution behaves very differently from one that still has 60% of its supply waiting to be unlocked.
Supply economics
Issuance pressure, dilution, and structural value accrual
The supply story for Arweave comes down to three things: how tokens are issued over time, how many are circulating now, and how far the fully-diluted valuation sits above the circulating market cap. At over 99% of maximum supply issued, future issuance pressure is effectively zero — the supply curve is now flat, and value accrual must come from network adoption rather than from supply schedule mechanics.
The question that matters for a longer-term view is simple: does value accrual (burns, staking-yield reinvestment, deflationary mechanics, growing ecosystem TVL) run ahead of new issuance, or behind it? Ahead, and price can compound quietly; behind, and it leans on continuous fresh demand to soak up the supply.
Trader's note
Coin-type-aware tactical interpretation
Arweave should be read as a storage business, not an L1. The metrics that matter are paid storage demand, utilised capacity, and provider retention — when these grow, the token has historically followed; when capacity is subsidised faster than demand arrives, the setup is weaker regardless of the chart.
Price Strength reads neutral (41/100). The investment question is whether real, paying storage demand is growing faster than the token emissions used to subsidise providers — capacity that is merely incentive-farmed does not durably accrue value. Treat utilised-capacity and active-deal trends as the signal, and token-only charts as the noise.
Markets & exchanges
Top trading pairs by 24h volume
| # | Exchange | Pair | Last price | 24h volume | Trust |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Binance | AR/USDT | $2.13 | $10.41M | A+ |
Initial rows server-rendered from our verified pipeline (binance-v2). Data-only. STNews does not place affiliate links here. See our affiliate disclosure.
If you'd bought Arweave...
ROI calculator · historical close prices
Calculated on daily close prices. Does not include trading fees, taxes, or staking yields. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Converter
Rate: 1 AR = $2.13
Compared to peers
Price, market cap, volume, supply
| Coin | 7d trend | Price | Market Cap | 24h Vol | 24h % | 7d % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Arweave
AR
|
$2.13 | $139.97M | $10.41M | +5.18% | +8.32% | |
Bitcoin
BTC
|
$62,820.75 | $1.26T | $15.77B | +0.58% | -4.60% | |
Ethereum
ETH
|
$1,763.46 | $212.82B | $6.25B | +0.88% | -5.79% | |
Solana
SOL
|
$80.77 | $47.55B | $1.55B | -1.40% | -13.42% | |
XRP
XRP
|
$1.17 | $70.47B | $2.54B | +4.43% | +2.56% | |
BNB
BNB
|
$570.62 | $79.42B | $369.24M | -0.17% | -3.52% | |
Dogecoin
DOGE
|
$0.0768 | $11.40B | $471.47M | +0.05% | -6.29% | |
Cardano
ADA
|
$0.1911 | $8.60B | $614.22M | +7.72% | -11.45% | |
TRON
TRX
|
$0.3249 | $28.06B | $247.06M | +0.31% | +1.23% |
Market sentiment
Crypto Fear & Greed Index · alternative.me
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index aggregates volatility, market momentum, social media activity, dominance and Google Trends data into a single 0–100 score updated daily. Today's reading is 22 — Extreme Fear.
Extreme fear (below 25) historically signals buying opportunities for contrarians, while extreme greed (above 75) often precedes corrections. The index works best as one input among many, not as a standalone trading signal.
Macro & cross-asset context
How macro liquidity and cross-asset moves frame the trade
At the top of the macro stack sit interest rates, dollar liquidity and risk appetite, and crypto has tended to amplify all three. Easing financial conditions and a weaker dollar have historically pulled the sector up; tightening liquidity and a firmer dollar have reliably pulled it back down.
A handful of traditional gauges tend to lead or confirm crypto moves: the dollar index (strength is a headwind), the 10-year yield (the price of risk capital), gold (an occasional fellow-traveller in debasement trades), and the S&P 500 (which often moves with crypto when liquidity, not fundamentals, is in the driver's seat).
Zooming in on Arweave, the most reliable leading indicator has tended to be crypto-native liquidity itself — aggregate stablecoin supply, open interest in futures, and exchange volume. Rising on-chain liquidity has historically pulled AR up; draining liquidity has done the opposite. With a comparatively loose 90-day BTC correlation of +0.37, AR has shown more idiosyncratic price behaviour than the average large-cap — its own catalysts can matter as much as the broad liquidity tide.
Risks
Storage-network risks are specific to the model: provider churn (data must be re-replicated when providers leave), retrieval reliability (storing is not the same as fast retrieval), token-emission pressure used to subsidise early providers, and demand risk — the network only accrues value if real paying storage demand materialises rather than incentive-farmed capacity. General crypto-market and regulatory risks apply on top.
Frequently asked questions
What is Arweave (AR)? ▾
Arweave is a cryptocurrency, traded on global digital-asset markets. It trades under the ticker AR and currently has a market capitalisation of $139.97M.
What is the price of AR today? ▾
The price of Arweave today is $2.13, refreshed daily from public market data. Live price changes are visible at the top of this page.
What is the maximum supply of Arweave? ▾
The protocol caps lifetime issuance of Arweave at 66.00M AR. This limit is enforced by the network's code and cannot be raised without coordinated upgrades.
What was Arweave\'s all-time high? ▾
Arweave's all-time high in USD terms is $97.32. Past performance does not guarantee future returns.
How can I buy Arweave? ▾
Arweave is available on the major centralized exchanges; the Markets table on this page ranks them by AR/USD volume. As always, verify the venue's withdrawal fees, funding options, and licensing for your jurisdiction first.
Is Arweave a good investment? ▾
Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy or sell. Digital-asset prices swing sharply in both directions; treat the figures above as inputs to your own research and your own risk assessment, not as a signal.
Where does the data on this page come from? ▾
Our price, supply and volume data come from public cryptocurrency APIs (Binance, CoinGecko, CoinPaprika and similar), and the sentiment gauge is from alternative.me. Everything is stored locally and refreshed on a recurring cycle.
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The information on this page is provided for general educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile; you can lose some or all of your capital. STNews does not recommend that any cryptocurrency should be bought, sold or held by you. Conduct your own due diligence and consult your independent financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Data sources: CoinGecko · CoinPaprika · Binance · DefiLlama · alternative.me Fear & Greed Index · Editorial standards: /editorial-guidelines · Affiliate disclosure: /affiliate-disclosure
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