Ethereum
ETH Rank #2ライブ価格 · マルチソースダッシュボード · 56 minutes前に更新
マーケット動向
ライブ編集スナップショット — 更新ごとに数値が変化
現在の状態: Ethereum is trading at $1,665.67 with a $201.0 billion market capitalization (rank #2). The price moved +6.11% over the past 24 hours and is -17.01% over 7 days; the 30-day move stands at -27.80% and the 90-day at -16.42%.
サイクル内の位置: Trading more than 50% below the all-time high places the asset in correction-territory deep enough that statistical mean-reversion historically gives way to narrative- and liquidity-driven moves.
ボラティリティと構造: 30-day realized volatility of 53.4% annualized is moderate for an asset this size. Our composite multi-horizon Price Strength reads Bearish (28/100), against a weakening multi-horizon backdrop with cumulative pressure across 30/90-day windows.
コンポジットスコア
Derived metrics composed from multi-horizon data
Composite of 24h/7d/30d/90d/1y returns weighted toward longer horizons.
24h volume / market cap = 0.325%.
Annualized std-dev of daily log returns.
% of all-time high currently held.
Multiple over all-time low. Log scale.
Ethereum's performance grid shows the asset gained 4.20% over the last 24 hours, with the 7-day picture 18.51% lower and the 30-day frame 29.10% lower. Over the trailing 365 days, the asset has delivered losses of 35.21%, against a weakening multi-horizon backdrop.
The asset currently trades 66.2% below its all-time high, deep in the post-peak drawdown regime where statistical mean-reversion historically matters less than narrative and liquidity flow. 30-day realized volatility sits at 53% annualized — moderate territory for a crypto asset of this size.
Ethereum currently shows adequate turnover sufficient for retail-sized entries. 24-hour trading volume represents 0.325% of market capitalization — our liquidity-health composite scores this as Adequate (47/100). This is on the lighter end of the top-100 range; large orders should be sliced into the market rather than executed at once.
The 90-day Pearson correlation of ETH's daily returns versus Bitcoin's is +0.90 — a very strong positive relationship. Ethereum essentially trades as a higher-beta proxy on Bitcoin. Independent alpha is hard to capture here — when BTC moves, ETH moves with it, often with amplification.
パフォーマンスグリッド
% return across 9 horizons — heatmap by magnitude
Data refreshed 56 minutes ago · auto-updates daily
価格履歴表
Last 30 trading days · daily OHLC
| Date | Open | High | Low | Close | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | $1,569.68 | $1,648.70 | $1,564.10 | $1,635.62 | +4.20% |
| 2026-06-06 | $1,583.40 | $1,601.22 | $1,505.68 | $1,569.69 | -0.87% |
| 2026-06-05 | $1,770.76 | $1,774.99 | $1,540.19 | $1,583.40 | -10.58% |
| 2026-06-04 | $1,813.05 | $1,820.50 | $1,717.28 | $1,770.77 | -2.33% |
| 2026-06-03 | $1,859.84 | $1,893.07 | $1,769.62 | $1,813.05 | -2.52% |
| 2026-06-02 | $2,006.73 | $2,006.78 | $1,839.02 | $1,859.84 | -7.32% |
| 2026-06-01 | $2,007.02 | $2,021.50 | $1,956.04 | $2,006.73 | -0.01% |
| 2026-05-31 | $2,022.44 | $2,038.00 | $1,993.75 | $2,007.01 | -0.76% |
| 2026-05-30 | $2,014.54 | $2,032.00 | $2,002.00 | $2,022.44 | +0.39% |
| 2026-05-29 | $2,009.89 | $2,046.59 | $1,976.48 | $2,014.54 | +0.23% |
| 2026-05-28 | $2,024.83 | $2,030.00 | $1,967.00 | $2,009.90 | -0.74% |
| 2026-05-27 | $2,073.77 | $2,097.40 | $2,016.00 | $2,024.84 | -2.36% |
| 2026-05-26 | $2,113.01 | $2,140.49 | $2,055.06 | $2,073.77 | -1.86% |
| 2026-05-25 | $2,099.86 | $2,141.98 | $2,092.26 | $2,113.01 | +0.63% |
| 2026-05-24 | $2,117.69 | $2,132.14 | $2,063.00 | $2,099.85 | -0.84% |
| 2026-05-23 | $2,065.86 | $2,149.95 | $2,009.30 | $2,117.68 | +2.51% |
| 2026-05-22 | $2,133.77 | $2,141.39 | $2,057.79 | $2,065.85 | -3.18% |
| 2026-05-21 | $2,129.44 | $2,157.50 | $2,105.15 | $2,133.76 | +0.20% |
| 2026-05-20 | $2,111.93 | $2,149.00 | $2,103.29 | $2,129.44 | +0.83% |
| 2026-05-19 | $2,130.08 | $2,146.95 | $2,094.47 | $2,111.93 | -0.85% |
| 2026-05-18 | $2,131.00 | $2,157.24 | $2,077.23 | $2,130.08 | -0.04% |
| 2026-05-17 | $2,180.77 | $2,198.14 | $2,091.48 | $2,131.00 | -2.28% |
| 2026-05-16 | $2,224.65 | $2,231.51 | $2,162.55 | $2,180.77 | -1.97% |
| 2026-05-15 | $2,283.26 | $2,300.29 | $2,205.11 | $2,224.66 | -2.57% |
| 2026-05-14 | $2,258.66 | $2,319.33 | $2,238.64 | $2,283.25 | +1.09% |
| 2026-05-13 | $2,274.97 | $2,323.36 | $2,234.13 | $2,258.65 | -0.72% |
| 2026-05-12 | $2,339.88 | $2,340.85 | $2,256.27 | $2,274.96 | -2.77% |
| 2026-05-11 | $2,371.26 | $2,374.92 | $2,304.00 | $2,339.87 | -1.32% |
| 2026-05-10 | $2,326.43 | $2,382.53 | $2,311.83 | $2,371.27 | +1.93% |
| 2026-05-09 | $2,307.07 | $2,338.37 | $2,300.00 | $2,326.44 | +0.84% |
テクニカル分析
RSI · MACD · moving averages · Bollinger
- R$2,107.67
- R$2,148.39
- R$2,157.50
- R$2,167.85
- S$1,505.68
- S$1,540.19
- S$1,564.10
- S$1,601.22
マルチモデル価格予測
3-model ensemble · TA + statistical + peer-relative
モデル別内訳 +
| Model | Horizon | Low | Mid | High | Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical | Short | $2,374.25 | $2,594.07 | $2,813.90 | TA composite (ATR + Bollinger + slope) |
| Technical | Mid | $2,194.29 | $2,346.91 | $2,909.87 | TA composite (ATR + Bollinger + slope) |
| Technical | Long | $98.86 | $141.23 | $183.60 | TA composite (ATR + Bollinger + slope) |
| Monte Carlo | Short | $1,387.60 | $1,590.02 | $1,821.98 | Monte Carlo on 90d log returns |
| Monte Carlo | Mid | $1,093.04 | $1,449.00 | $1,920.89 | Monte Carlo on 90d log returns |
| Monte Carlo | Long | $396.38 | $790.70 | $1,577.29 | Monte Carlo on 90d log returns |
| Peer comparison | Short | $1,227.21 | $1,338.23 | $1,410.90 | Peer comparison · 15 peers in same category |
| Peer comparison | Mid | $1,068.73 | $1,164.36 | $1,436.56 | Peer comparison · 15 peers in same category |
| Peer comparison | Long | $693.33 | $808.81 | $1,107.38 | Peer comparison · 15 peers in same category |
The forecast above combines three independent models per the STNews methodology:
- Technical model projects ranges from moving-average, ATR, Bollinger band and trend-slope inputs — useful when the asset is in a clean trending or ranging regime.
- Statistical (Monte Carlo) model uses the 90-day distribution of daily log returns to project the 5th, 50th and 95th percentile prices at each horizon — useful as an unbiased baseline that does not assume any trend continuation.
- Peer-relative model compares against same-category coins of similar market cap, projecting where this asset would trade if it matched the median, lower-quartile and upper-quartile peer return profiles — useful as a sanity check that anchors to broader sector behavior.
The ensemble forecast shown is a weighted average (40% statistical · 30% technical · 30% peer-relative). The confidence badge reflects how closely the three models agree: tighter agreement → higher confidence; wider disagreement → lower confidence, indicating that the asset is in a regime where statistical models alone are unreliable.
EIP-1559 burn dynamics
Live ETH burn rate · via ultrasound.money
Since the EIP-1559 upgrade in August 2021, a portion of every Ethereum transaction fee (the "base fee") is permanently destroyed rather than paid to validators. This makes ETH the only major crypto asset whose supply schedule is partially demand-driven — when on-chain activity is high, more ETH is burned; when activity is low, less is burned.
Over the trailing 30 days, the network has burned approximately 2,151 ETH ($4.4 million at current prices) — an annualized run-rate of 26,190 ETH, equivalent to 0.02% of circulating supply per year. The 7-day burn of 718 ETH and 24-hour burn of 23 ETH indicate the burn rate has slowed relative to the 30-day average.
Combined with the approximately 0.5% annualized PoS issuance to validators, the network currently sits net inflationary at the current activity level — burn is real but issuance is exceeding it. The ETH supply is therefore neither perfectly fixed (like Bitcoin) nor predictable on a fixed schedule (like most PoS coins) — it is a function of how much economic activity the chain hosts.
資産間相関 (90日)
Pearson correlation of daily log returns vs top L1 references
Beyond Bitcoin, ETH's 90-day return correlations to the other two largest layer-1 references help characterize whether the asset moves as part of a crypto-market beta complex or as something more idiosyncratic. The Pearson correlations across daily log returns:
- Bitcoin reference: +0.90 — a very strong positive relationship.
- Solana reference: +0.86 — a very strong positive relationship.
Strong correlation to multiple references typically indicates that the asset trades primarily as crypto-market beta — moves in BTC/ETH/SOL drive most of the price action, and stand-alone alpha is harder to capture. Weak or negative correlations indicate idiosyncratic drivers (project-specific news, sector rotation within crypto, or narrative shifts) that can produce returns uncorrelated with the broader market.
Ethereum について
Ethereum (ETH) is 独自の独立したブロックチェーンネットワーク上で動作するレイヤー1暗号資産. It trades at $1,665.67 as of the latest update, with a 24-hour move up 2.02%, placing it at rank #2 by market capitalisation among all listed digital assets. Ethereum's current market cap stands at $201.02B, a figure used by traders, analysts and institutional desks to gauge relative liquidity and risk exposure across the crypto market.
このページには、毎日更新されるライブダッシュボードがあり、Ethereumを複数のデータソースで追跡しています — 数年遡る価格履歴、利用可能な場合のオンチェーン活動、流通供給量と希薄化などのファンダメンタルズ、取引量別トップ取引所、移動平均線とRSIによるテクニカル分析、そしてアルゴリズムによる短期・中期・長期予測。すべての数値は公開APIから取得され、ローカルにキャッシュされています。投資助言ではありません。
Ethereum (ETH) is the world's largest smart-contract platform — a decentralized, programmable blockchain that hosts the majority of decentralized finance activity, the largest stablecoin float, and the most active developer ecosystem in crypto. Proposed by Vitalik Buterin in 2013 and launched in July 2015, Ethereum extended Bitcoin's base idea of programmable scarcity into a general-purpose computing substrate.
The native token ETH plays three roles: it is the gas that pays for computation on the network; it is the asset staked by validators to secure consensus; and it is increasingly treated as a yield-bearing reserve asset by sophisticated allocators (via liquid staking tokens like Lido's stETH).
ETH currently trades at $1,665.67, with approximately 25% of total supply staked into the consensus layer. Layer-2 rollups settle to Ethereum at growing scale, with collective L2 TVL frequently exceeding $30 billion across the major rollups.
By market value Ethereum (ETH) sits inside the top ten, trading at $1,665.67 as of the latest snapshot. ETH is +2.02% over 24 hours, -5.79% over the past week, -12.34% over 30 days, putting it among the weekly underperformers across the top 250 by market capitalisation. Ethereum remains roughly 66% beneath its all-time high of $4,832.07, a level reached 9 months ago. Trading volume is light versus market value — only about 0.4% of capitalisation changes hands daily — so larger orders can move price more than they would for higher-liquidity peers.
On a one-year view ETH has lost 24.0%, against a broader crypto-market backdrop that closed the period roughly flat after several volatile quarters.
仕組み — Ethereum
Ethereumはプルーフ・オブ・ステーク・コンセンサスによって保護されたプログラム可能なブロックチェーンです。バリデータはそれぞれ32 ETHを担保としてロックし、プロトコルはランダムに彼らを選択して新しいブロックを提案・証言します。誠実な行動はステーキング報酬を獲得しますが、悪意または過失の行動はスラッシュされます — ステークされた担保の一部が破壊されます。現在、100万を超えるアクティブなバリデータがネットワークを保護しています。
Ethereumの特徴的なのはEthereum仮想マシン(EVM)です:チューリング完全な環境で、開発者は誰でもスマートコントラクトをデプロイできます — 条件が満たされたときに自律的に実行されるプログラムです。これはDeFiエコシステム全体、主要なNFTマーケットプレイス、分散型自律組織(DAO)、そしてステーブルコイン発行の増加分の基盤となっています。
EIP-1559アップグレード以降、各トランザクション手数料の一部(基本料金)は永久にバーンされ、ネットワークアクティビティが高い時期にはETHは構造的にデフレ的になります。今日、ほとんどの個人取引はレイヤー2ロールアップ(Arbitrum、Optimism、Base、zkSync)上で行われ、圧縮されたデータをEthereum L1に投稿することでコストを劇的に削減します。
ユースケース — Ethereum
Ethereumのユースケースは、オンチェーン活動のすべての主要セクターに及びます:
- DeFi。レンディング(Aave、Compound)、取引所(Uniswap、Curve)、デリバティブ(dYdX、GMX)、ストラクチャード商品。DeFi TVLの大部分はEthereumまたはそのL2上にあります。
- ステーブルコイン基盤。主要なステーブルコイン(USDT、USDC、DAI)のほとんどは主にEthereum上で流通しています。チェーンは実質的にオンチェーンドル決済レイヤーとして機能しています。
- ステーキング利回り。ETH自体がステーキングにより利回りを生みます — 現在年率約3-4%でETHで支払われます。stETHやrETHなどの流動性ステーキングトークンにより、保有者はDeFiコンポーザビリティを維持しながら利回りを得ることができます。
- NFTとデジタル文化。最大のコレクション — CryptoPunks、BAYC、Pudgy Penguins、Azuki — はすべてEthereum上にあります。
- レイヤー2決済。オプティミスティックおよびzk-rollupsはEthereumのセキュリティを継承しながら、10-100倍安価なトランザクションを提供します。
- トークン化現実資産(RWA)。トークン化された米国債(BUIDL、USDY、ONDO)はますますEthereum上にあり、機関投資家の採用が加速しています。
トークノミクス
Supply schedule & distribution
- Circulating supply: 120.69M ETH — tokens actively trading and held by the public
- Total supply: 120.69M ETH — all tokens minted to date (including those locked or held by the issuer)
Ethereum's supply schedule directly affects its long-term inflation rate and, by extension, how dilutive future issuance will be to existing holders. A coin near full dilution behaves very differently from one that still has 60% of its supply waiting to be unlocked.
Supply economics
Issuance pressure, dilution, and structural value accrual
Ethereum's tokenomics combine its supply schedule, current circulating supply, and the relationship between circulating market cap and fully-diluted valuation.
For thesis-building, the relevant question is whether the structural value accrual mechanism (fee burns, staking yield reinvestment, deflationary supply mechanics, ecosystem TVL growth) outpaces the structural emission pressure. When it does, the price tends to grind higher over multi-quarter windows even without speculative momentum; when it does not, the asset typically requires consistent narrative-driven demand to absorb the issuance.
トレーダーのメモ
コイン種別ごとの戦術的解釈
For Ethereum, the metrics that lead price most reliably are application-layer adoption (active addresses, transaction count, fees paid) and validator-economic health (% supply staked, staking yield trajectory, net validator inflows). When these network metrics improve faster than market sentiment, the asset tends to re-rate higher even before retail attention notices.
The Price Strength composite at 28/100 reads as bearish. For PoS L1s, the tactical framework that often works: anchor entries to ranges where DeFi TVL and active-user counts have stabilized rather than to price-only charts. ETH tends to respond more to ecosystem narrative shifts than to pure technical setups — making fundamental signal more useful than for many other crypto asset classes.
Developer activity
On-chain projects live or die by code shipped · via GitHub
- v1.17.3 · Enzymatic Injector (v1.17.3) 2026-05-11
- v1.17.2 · EMF Suppressor (v1.17.2) 2026-03-30
- v1.17.1 · Eezo Shunt (v1.17.1) 2026-03-03
- v1.17.0 · Eezo-Inlaid Circuitry (v1.17.0) 2026-02-17
- v1.16.9 · Shield Focusing Module (v1.16.9) 2026-02-17
Ethereum's public repository
(ethereum/go-ethereum)
shows 51,095 stars,
100 commits over the trailing 30 days from
30 active contributors, and the
most recent release on 2026-05-11.
Combined into our composite Developer Activity Index, the project reads as
very active
(86/100) — useful as a quasi-fundamental signal alongside on-chain
metrics and market pricing.
Markets & exchanges
Top trading pairs by 24h volume
| # | Exchange | Pair | Last price | 24h volume | Trust |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Binance | ETH/USDT | $1,665.67 | $739.68M | A+ |
| 2 | Coinbase | ETH/USD | $1,665.84 | $162.73M | A+ |
| 3 | OKX | ETH/USDT | $1,665.50 | $103.56M | A |
| 4 | Bybit | ETH/USDT | $1,666.00 | $81.37M | A |
| 5 | Kraken | ETH/USD | $1,665.34 | $59.17M | A |
Initial rows server-rendered from our verified pipeline (binance-v2). Data-only. STNews does not place affiliate links here. See our affiliate disclosure.
If you'd bought Ethereum...
ROI calculator · historical close prices
Calculated on daily close prices. Does not include trading fees, taxes, or staking yields. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Converter
Rate: 1 ETH = $1,665.67
Compared to peers
Price, market cap, volume, supply
| Coin | 7d trend | Price | Market Cap | 24h Vol | 24h % | 7d % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
$1,665.67 | $201.02B | $739.68M | +2.02% | -5.79% | |
|
|
$63,151.99 | $1.27T | $1.44B | +1.05% | -4.60% | |
|
|
$65.92 | $38.81B | $168.15M | +1.51% | -13.42% | |
|
|
$1.14 | $114.45B | $110.68M | +0.40% | -6.39% | |
|
|
$0.1637 | $7.37B | $34.92M | -1.21% | -11.45% | |
|
|
$0.3263 | $28.18B | $33.66M | -0.97% | +1.23% | |
|
|
$6.68 | $3.06B | $20.17M | -1.21% | -10.32% | |
|
|
$0.9650 | $0.00 | $7.12M | -0.52% | -10.49% | |
|
|
$0.3794 | $3.79B | $1.07M | -0.29% | -12.71% |
Market sentiment
Crypto Fear & Greed Index · alternative.me
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index aggregates volatility, market momentum, social media activity, dominance and Google Trends data into a single 0–100 score updated daily. Today's reading is 12 — Extreme Fear.
Extreme fear (below 25) historically signals buying opportunities for contrarians, while extreme greed (above 75) often precedes corrections. The index works best as one input among many, not as a standalone trading signal.
Macro & cross-asset context
How macro liquidity and cross-asset moves frame the trade
The macro backdrop for crypto assets in 2026 is dominated by the Federal Reserve's rate path, the trajectory of dollar liquidity, and the unwind (or non-unwind) of the post-2020 expansion in M2 money supply. Crypto assets — and Bitcoin in particular — have historically responded most strongly to changes in the global liquidity regime, with risk-on phases coinciding with falling real yields and a softening dollar, and risk-off phases the inverse. Given the 90-day BTC correlation of +0.90, ETH's near-term macro sensitivity will be similar to Bitcoin's — driven primarily by the same liquidity conditions and risk-asset flows.
The cross-asset relationships worth monitoring: the dollar index (DXY) — historically inversely correlated with crypto over longer windows; the 10-year Treasury yield — a proxy for the cost of risk capital; gold — which often shares "monetary hedge" framing with Bitcoin during certain regime changes; and the S&P 500 — which during liquidity-driven moves often rhymes with crypto despite the popular framing of crypto as uncorrelated.
For Ethereum specifically, the macro variable that has empirically led price most often is global crypto-market liquidity — proxied by stablecoin total supply, futures open interest, and exchange volumes. When these expand, ETH tends to follow; when they contract, the relationship typically reverses.
リスク
プログラム可能なPoSネットワークとしてのEthereumに固有のリスク:
- スマートコントラクトリスク。デプロイされた契約のバグは資金の永久的な損失につながる可能性があります。DeFiエコシステムは長年にわたって数億ドルをエクスプロイトで失ってきました。
- バリデータの集中。少数のステーキングプール(特にLidoや主要な取引所)がステーキングされたETH全体の大部分を占めています。バリデータセットの分散化はコミュニティの積極的な優先事項です。
- MEV(最大抽出可能価値)。バリデータは利益のためにトランザクションを並び替えることができ、サンドイッチ攻撃やその他のフロントランニングを通じてエンドユーザーに損害を与える可能性があります。
- L2の断片化。流動性とユーザー体験は複数のL2に分散しています。クロスロールアップの相互運用性は未解決の問題のままです。
- ステーキングをめぐる規制の不確実性。ステーキングされたETHおよび流動性ステーキングトークンの分類は法域によって異なり、進化し続けています。
- マクロおよびボラティリティリスク。ETHは通常BTCよりも高いベータ値を持ち、リスク資産サイクルを両方向に増幅させます。
Frequently asked questions
What is Ethereum used for? ▾
Ethereum is used to deploy and run smart contracts — self-executing programs that power decentralized finance applications, stablecoin issuance, tokenization of real-world assets, NFTs, and decentralized governance. The native token, ETH, pays for transaction processing on the network.
How is Ethereum different from Bitcoin? ▾
Bitcoin is designed primarily as a digital store of value and payment network with a fixed 21 million supply. Ethereum is a programmable platform that supports smart contracts and has no hard supply cap; instead, its issuance is offset by a fee-burning mechanism introduced in 2021 that can make ETH net-deflationary under high network usage.
Can you stake Ethereum? ▾
Yes. Since the September 2022 transition to proof-of-stake, ETH holders can lock their tokens to help validate transactions and earn yield in return. Solo staking requires 32 ETH, but staking pools and liquid staking protocols allow participation with any amount.
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Ethereum Foundation cuts and departures aren't a crisis, Joe Lubin says
The Consensys leader told CoinDesk the Ethereum Foundation's role should be narrower and more focused on stewarding the network's core technology and values.
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