Monero

Monero follows a halving cycle similar in mechanism to Bitcoin's — the block reward is cut on a predictable schedule, producing periodic supply-side compression. While XMR's cycle dynamics have historically tracked Bitcoin's broader rhythm rather than producing fully independent cycles, the halving events themselves have produced meaningful price-action inflection points in past cycles.

For PoW chains other than Bitcoin, the relevant tactical question is generally not "does the halving alone drive a bull cycle?" but rather "does the broader crypto cycle, plus the halving's supply compression, plus any chain-specific narrative produce a structural setup?" When all three align, multi-month outperformance versus Bitcoin has been the historical pattern.

Estado actual: Monero is trading at $118.70 with a $2.2 billion market capitalization (rank #21). The price moved +5.51% over the past 24 hours and is -7.12% over 7 days; the 30-day move stands at -24.68% and the 90-day at -27.22%.

Posición en el ciclo: Trading more than 50% below the all-time high places the asset in correction-territory deep enough that statistical mean-reversion historically gives way to narrative- and liquidity-driven moves.

Volatilidad y estructura: 30-day realized volatility of 180.7% annualized is extreme for an asset this size. Our composite multi-horizon Price Strength reads Bearish (30/100), against a weakening multi-horizon backdrop with cumulative pressure across 30/90-day windows.

Beyond Bitcoin, XMR's 90-day return correlations to the other two largest layer-1 references help characterize whether the asset moves as part of a crypto-market beta complex or as something more idiosyncratic. The Pearson correlations across daily log returns:

• Bitcoin reference: +0.06 — a minimal positive relationship.
• Ethereum reference: +0.05 — a minimal positive relationship.
• Solana reference: +0.04 — a minimal positive relationship.

Strong correlation to multiple references typically indicates that the asset trades primarily as crypto-market beta — moves in BTC/ETH/SOL drive most of the price action, and stand-alone alpha is harder to capture. Weak or negative correlations indicate idiosyncratic drivers (project-specific news, sector rotation within crypto, or narrative shifts) that can produce returns uncorrelated with the broader market.

Monero (XMR) is una criptomoneda de Capa-1, que opera sobre su propia red blockchain independiente. It trades at $118.70 as of the latest update, with a 24-hour move up 4.77%, placing it at rank #29 by market capitalisation among all listed digital assets. Monero's current market cap stands at $2.19B, a figure used by traders, analysts and institutional desks to gauge relative liquidity and risk exposure across the crypto market.

En esta página encontrarás un panel en vivo, actualizado diariamente, que rastrea Monero a través de múltiples fuentes de datos — historial de precios de varios años, actividad on-chain cuando está disponible, fundamentos como oferta circulante y dilución, principales exchanges por volumen, análisis técnico con medias móviles y RSI, y un pronóstico algorítmico a corto, medio y largo plazo. Todas las cifras provienen de APIs públicas y se almacenan localmente; nada de lo aquí publicado constituye asesoría de inversión.

Monero (XMR) is a proof-of-work cryptocurrency designed primarily as digital money — a decentralized, permissionless monetary network where transactions are verified by miners rather than any central authority. Its value proposition rests on credible scarcity, censorship resistance, and the security of its proof-of-work consensus.

Monero es una criptomoneda de prueba de trabajo: los mineros compiten por extender la cadena resolviendo un acertijo computacional, y el primero en encontrar una solución válida obtiene la recompensa del bloque. No hay contratos inteligentes, ni staking, ni conjunto de validadores, ni gobernanza on-chain. El protocolo es intencionalmente mínimo y de propósito único.

Issuance follows a predictable, decreasing schedule. Network security scales with the total computing power dedicated to mining; higher hashrate makes the chain more expensive to attack and is generally viewed as a vote of confidence by miners in the asset's future price.

Monero is used primarily as a store of value, a medium of exchange, and a settlement layer. It is not a smart-contract platform and does not host decentralized applications. Adoption typically reflects two themes: digital sound money (similar to Bitcoin's thesis) and cheap, fast peer-to-peer payments where the parent monetary network is congested or expensive.

Monero's tokenomics combine its supply schedule, current circulating supply, and the relationship between circulating market cap and fully-diluted valuation.

For thesis-building, the relevant question is whether the structural value accrual mechanism (fee burns, staking yield reinvestment, deflationary supply mechanics, ecosystem TVL growth) outpaces the structural emission pressure. When it does, the price tends to grind higher over multi-quarter windows even without speculative momentum; when it does not, the asset typically requires consistent narrative-driven demand to absorb the issuance.

The macro backdrop for crypto assets in 2026 is dominated by the Federal Reserve's rate path, the trajectory of dollar liquidity, and the unwind (or non-unwind) of the post-2020 expansion in M2 money supply. Crypto assets — and Bitcoin in particular — have historically responded most strongly to changes in the global liquidity regime, with risk-on phases coinciding with falling real yields and a softening dollar, and risk-off phases the inverse.

The cross-asset relationships worth monitoring: the dollar index (DXY) — historically inversely correlated with crypto over longer windows; the 10-year Treasury yield — a proxy for the cost of risk capital; gold — which often shares "monetary hedge" framing with Bitcoin during certain regime changes; and the S&P 500 — which during liquidity-driven moves often rhymes with crypto despite the popular framing of crypto as uncorrelated.

For Monero specifically, the macro variable that has empirically led price most often is global crypto-market liquidity — proxied by stablecoin total supply, futures open interest, and exchange volumes. When these expand, XMR tends to follow; when they contract, the relationship typically reverses.

Riesgos clave incluyen: centralización minera (las cadenas PoW más pequeñas son más fáciles de atacar al 51%), hashrate decreciente relativo a Bitcoin (lo cual eleva el coste relativo de un ataque), presión regulatoria sobre el uso de energía, y sensibilidad de la acción de precios respecto a Bitcoin (la mayoría de las altcoins PoW tienen fuerte correlación con BTC). El dimensionamiento de posición debe reflejar que la volatilidad de las altcoins PoW tiende a amplificar los movimientos de BTC en ambas direcciones.