Bitcoin
BTC Rank #1سعر مباشر · لوحة متعددة المصادر · تم التحديث منذ 35 minutes
النصف القادم
مكافأة الكتلة تنخفض إلى النصف كل ~4 سنوات
كل نصف يقلل مكافأة الكتلة التي يحصل عليها المنقبون بنسبة 50%. Bitcoin's issuance rate is hard-coded — this event is mathematically predictable, not subject to governance. تاريخياً، سبق النصف توسعات سعرية تستمر عدة أشهر، رغم أن الأداء السابق لا يضمن العوائد المستقبلية.
سياق الدورة
كيف شكّل النصف الدورات التاريخية والحالية
دورة بيتكوين الرباعية السنوات مرتكزة على النصف: كل 210,000 كتلة (حوالي أربع سنوات تقريباً)، تنخفض مكافأة الكتلة — وبالتالي معدل دخول BTC جديدة إلى التداول — إلى النصف. الجدول الزمني مُدمج في البروتوكول ولا يمكن تغييره دون إجماع اجتماعي ساحق، مما يجعل النصف الحدث الوحيد القابل للتنبؤ بمصداقية على جانب العرض في أي فئة أصول رئيسية.
كان آخر نصف في 19 أبريل 2024، عند الكتلة 840,000، مما أدى إلى انخفاض المكافأة من 6.25 BTC إلى 3.125 BTC. ومن المتوقع أن يحدث التالي حوالي أبريل 2028 عند الكتلة 1,050,000، مما يخفض المكافأة إلى 1.5625 BTC. كل نصف يقلل الإصدار اليومي تقريباً إلى النصف بينما يبقى الطلب الهيكلي (تدفقات ETF، تخصيصات الخزانة، مشتريات التجزئة) ثابتاً أو ينمو — مما ينتج عدم تماثل العرض والطلب الذي تاريخياً علّم بداية كل دورة صاعدة تمتد لعدة أرباع.
العوائد التاريخية بعد النصف: دورة 2012 حققت حوالي 96× من يوم النصف حتى ذروة الدورة (الذروة ~1,150 دولار في نوفمبر 2013)؛ دورة 2016 حققت حوالي 30× (الذروة ~19,800 دولار في ديسمبر 2017)؛ دورة 2020 حققت حوالي 7.9× (الذروة ~69,000 دولار في نوفمبر 2021). الاتجاه واضح: عوائد متناقصة مع نضج السوق، ولكن نمط اتجاهي ثابت من التوسع متعدد الأرباع يستمر حوالي 12–18 شهراً من كل نصف.
الدورة الحالية — نصف 2024 — لديها التغيير الهيكلي الإضافي وهو أن صناديق ETF لبيتكوين الفورية تمت الموافقة عليها في يناير 2024، قبل ثلاثة أشهر من النصف. تستوعب ETF حوالي 2,000–4,000 BTC يومياً من صافي الشراء خلال مراحل التراكم، وهو مقارن في الحجم بالإصدار اليومي الجديد عند المكافأة الحالية 3.125 BTC. هذا مصرف طلب دائم لم يكن موجوداً في أي دورة سابقة وهو السبب الهيكلي الرئيسي الذي يجعل سيناريو الحالة الأساسية لهذه الدورة يبدو مختلفاً.
Network activity
Live on-chain metrics · multiple data sources
Hashrate trend (90 days)
Network computing power · mempool.space
Bitcoin's hashrate represents the total computing power dedicated to mining at any given moment. Higher hashrate means the network is more expensive to attack and reflects ongoing investment by miners — a quasi-fundamental signal that, over multi-quarter windows, tends to correlate with miner confidence in future BTC price.
The 90-day trend shows hashrate has declined by 11.8%, while the 30-day move of -15.9% shows the more recent direction. Difficulty adjusts every 2,016 blocks (about two weeks) to keep block time near the 10-minute target — the table above shows the most recent adjustments, each one resetting the cost basis of mining for the next epoch.
نبض السوق
لقطة تحريرية مباشرة — تتحدث الأرقام مع كل تحديث
الحالة الحالية: Bitcoin is trading at $63,491.12 with a $1,272.1 billion market capitalization (rank #1). The price moved +4.28% over the past 24 hours and is -13.82% over 7 days; the 30-day move stands at -20.83% and the 90-day at -7.22%.
الموقع في الدورة: A drawdown of this magnitude is within the typical correction range — historically resolved in either direction, often via a re-test of the prior peak before a definitive break.
التقلب والبنية: 30-day realized volatility of 37.9% annualized is moderate for an asset this size. Our composite multi-horizon Price Strength reads Bearish (31/100), against a weakening multi-horizon backdrop with cumulative pressure across 30/90-day windows.
بطاقات مركبة
Derived metrics composed from multi-horizon data
Composite of 24h/7d/30d/90d/1y returns weighted toward longer horizons.
24h volume / market cap = 0.105%.
Annualized std-dev of daily log returns.
% of all-time high currently held.
Multiple over all-time low. Log scale.
Bitcoin's performance grid shows the asset gained 2.33% over the last 24 hours, with the 7-day picture 15.43% lower and the 30-day frame 22.31% lower. Over the trailing 365 days, the asset has delivered losses of 40.97%, against a weakening multi-horizon backdrop.
The asset currently trades 50.0% below its all-time high, deep in the post-peak drawdown regime where statistical mean-reversion historically matters less than narrative and liquidity flow. 30-day realized volatility sits at 38% annualized — moderate territory for a crypto asset of this size.
Bitcoin currently shows thin turnover that warrants caution on larger orders. 24-hour trading volume represents 0.105% of market capitalization — our liquidity-health composite scores this as Thin (30/100). This is on the lighter end of the top-100 range; large orders should be sliced into the market rather than executed at once.
As Bitcoin itself, this asset is the reference against which other coins' BTC correlation is measured. Bitcoin's own dominant correlations are with the broad risk-asset complex (S&P 500, Nasdaq) during liquidity contractions, and with gold and the dollar index during regime changes in macro sentiment.
شبكة الأداء
% return across 9 horizons — heatmap by magnitude
Data refreshed 35 minutes ago · auto-updates daily
تاريخ السعر
Last 30 trading days · daily OHLC
| Date | Open | High | Low | Close | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | $60,884.62 | $62,960.00 | $60,746.00 | $62,304.86 | +2.33% |
| 2026-06-06 | $61,056.47 | $61,530.05 | $59,500.00 | $60,884.62 | -0.28% |
| 2026-06-05 | $63,885.99 | $63,978.00 | $59,130.91 | $61,056.47 | -4.43% |
| 2026-06-04 | $64,142.75 | $64,764.32 | $61,383.56 | $63,885.99 | -0.40% |
| 2026-06-03 | $66,760.84 | $67,516.00 | $64,092.49 | $64,142.75 | -3.92% |
| 2026-06-02 | $71,408.90 | $71,408.90 | $66,193.00 | $66,760.83 | -6.51% |
| 2026-06-01 | $73,674.39 | $74,092.00 | $70,686.68 | $71,408.90 | -3.08% |
| 2026-05-31 | $73,884.38 | $74,275.66 | $73,400.00 | $73,674.39 | -0.28% |
| 2026-05-30 | $73,460.78 | $74,143.76 | $73,216.00 | $73,884.38 | +0.58% |
| 2026-05-29 | $73,617.52 | $74,514.10 | $72,512.49 | $73,460.78 | -0.21% |
| 2026-05-28 | $74,449.31 | $74,590.77 | $72,582.82 | $73,617.51 | -1.12% |
| 2026-05-27 | $75,930.01 | $76,174.15 | $74,243.99 | $74,449.30 | -1.95% |
| 2026-05-26 | $77,322.01 | $78,080.00 | $75,677.97 | $75,930.01 | -1.80% |
| 2026-05-25 | $77,064.96 | $77,905.52 | $76,914.25 | $77,322.01 | +0.33% |
| 2026-05-24 | $76,752.00 | $77,543.15 | $76,108.00 | $77,064.96 | +0.41% |
| 2026-05-23 | $75,539.50 | $77,404.18 | $74,289.60 | $76,752.01 | +1.61% |
| 2026-05-22 | $77,615.52 | $77,900.00 | $75,359.18 | $75,539.50 | -2.67% |
| 2026-05-21 | $77,552.24 | $78,200.00 | $76,719.47 | $77,615.52 | +0.08% |
| 2026-05-20 | $76,834.36 | $77,853.04 | $76,516.74 | $77,552.23 | +0.93% |
| 2026-05-19 | $77,001.88 | $77,414.62 | $76,144.71 | $76,834.36 | -0.22% |
| 2026-05-18 | $77,457.67 | $77,800.00 | $76,051.00 | $77,001.87 | -0.59% |
| 2026-05-17 | $78,148.05 | $78,599.99 | $76,735.16 | $77,457.67 | -0.88% |
| 2026-05-16 | $79,113.20 | $79,227.77 | $77,640.00 | $78,148.05 | -1.22% |
| 2026-05-15 | $81,090.00 | $81,664.45 | $78,659.00 | $79,113.21 | -2.44% |
| 2026-05-14 | $79,313.61 | $82,048.13 | $78,922.00 | $81,089.99 | +2.24% |
| 2026-05-13 | $80,504.47 | $81,324.64 | $78,754.65 | $79,313.61 | -1.48% |
| 2026-05-12 | $81,745.66 | $81,788.00 | $79,843.59 | $80,504.47 | -1.52% |
| 2026-05-11 | $82,210.07 | $82,380.00 | $80,462.97 | $81,745.65 | -0.56% |
| 2026-05-10 | $80,678.41 | $82,479.32 | $80,279.77 | $82,210.07 | +1.90% |
| 2026-05-09 | $80,193.18 | $81,080.00 | $80,129.85 | $80,678.40 | +0.61% |
التحليل الفني
RSI · MACD · moving averages · Bollinger
- R$68,698.70
- R$69,310.00
- R$69,988.83
- R$70,983.00
- S$60,000.00
توقع السعر متعدد النماذج
3-model ensemble · TA + statistical + peer-relative
التحليل حسب النموذج +
| Model | Horizon | Low | Mid | High | Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical | Short | $55,950.30 | $60,412.35 | $64,874.41 | TA composite (ATR + Bollinger + slope) |
| Technical | Mid | $54,935.37 | $56,738.22 | $63,089.92 | TA composite (ATR + Bollinger + slope) |
| Technical | Long | $29,646.55 | $42,352.22 | $55,057.88 | TA composite (ATR + Bollinger + slope) |
| Monte Carlo | Short | $55,274.48 | $61,795.07 | $69,084.87 | Monte Carlo on 90d log returns |
| Monte Carlo | Mid | $47,749.86 | $60,149.22 | $75,768.36 | Monte Carlo on 90d log returns |
| Monte Carlo | Long | $28,654.30 | $50,439.46 | $88,787.34 | Monte Carlo on 90d log returns |
| Peer comparison | Short | $50,339.26 | $52,910.42 | $57,868.44 | Peer comparison · 3 peers in same category |
| Peer comparison | Mid | $44,944.54 | $46,926.31 | $48,509.27 | Peer comparison · 3 peers in same category |
| Peer comparison | Long | $30,542.59 | $35,904.14 | $53,359.21 | Peer comparison · 3 peers in same category |
The forecast above combines three independent models per the STNews methodology:
- Technical model projects ranges from moving-average, ATR, Bollinger band and trend-slope inputs — useful when the asset is in a clean trending or ranging regime.
- Statistical (Monte Carlo) model uses the 90-day distribution of daily log returns to project the 5th, 50th and 95th percentile prices at each horizon — useful as an unbiased baseline that does not assume any trend continuation.
- Peer-relative model compares against same-category coins of similar market cap, projecting where this asset would trade if it matched the median, lower-quartile and upper-quartile peer return profiles — useful as a sanity check that anchors to broader sector behavior.
The ensemble forecast shown is a weighted average (40% statistical · 30% technical · 30% peer-relative). The confidence badge reflects how closely the three models agree: tighter agreement → higher confidence; wider disagreement → lower confidence, indicating that the asset is in a regime where statistical models alone are unreliable.
ارتباطات الأصول (90 يوم)
Pearson correlation of daily log returns vs top L1 references
Beyond Bitcoin, BTC's 90-day return correlations to the other two largest layer-1 references help characterize whether the asset moves as part of a crypto-market beta complex or as something more idiosyncratic. The Pearson correlations across daily log returns:
- Ethereum reference: +0.90 — a very strong positive relationship.
- Solana reference: +0.87 — a very strong positive relationship.
Strong correlation to multiple references typically indicates that the asset trades primarily as crypto-market beta — moves in BTC/ETH/SOL drive most of the price action, and stand-alone alpha is harder to capture. Weak or negative correlations indicate idiosyncratic drivers (project-specific news, sector rotation within crypto, or narrative shifts) that can produce returns uncorrelated with the broader market.
حول Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) is عملة مشفرة من الطبقة الأولى، تعمل على شبكة بلوكتشين مستقلة خاصة بها. It trades at $63,491.12 as of the latest update, with a 24-hour move up 2.81%, placing it at rank #1 by market capitalisation among all listed digital assets. Bitcoin's current market cap stands at $1.27T, a figure used by traders, analysts and institutional desks to gauge relative liquidity and risk exposure across the crypto market.
في هذه الصفحة ستجد لوحة معلومات حية، يتم تحديثها يومياً، تتتبع Bitcoin عبر مصادر بيانات متعددة — سجل الأسعار لعدة سنوات، النشاط على السلسلة عند توفره، الأساسيات مثل العرض المتداول والتخفيف، أهم المنصات حسب الحجم، التحليل الفني باستخدام المتوسطات المتحركة و RSI، وتوقع خوارزمي للأجل القصير والمتوسط والطويل. جميع الأرقام مأخوذة من واجهات برمجة التطبيقات العامة ومخزنة محلياً؛ لا شيء هنا يُعتبر نصيحة استثمارية.
Bitcoin (BTC) is the original cryptocurrency: a decentralized, peer-to-peer digital monetary network proposed by Satoshi Nakamoto in October 2008 and launched in January 2009. With a hard-capped supply of 21 million coins and a predictable issuance schedule that halves every four years, it was designed as digital sound money — credibly scarce, censorship-resistant, and verifiable without trusting any third party.
Bitcoin's value proposition is deliberately narrow. It does not aim to be programmable money, the substrate for an application platform, or a high-throughput payments rail. It aims to be the most resilient, most credibly neutral, and most predictably scarce monetary asset in human history — and the metric that matters most is its survival and security over decades, not its block time or transaction throughput in a given quarter.
At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $63,491 with a market capitalization of $1,272 billion, representing roughly 50% of all cryptocurrency value. It is widely accepted as a store-of-value reserve asset by individuals, corporate treasuries, sovereign entities, and — since the January 2024 spot-ETF approvals — large-scale institutional allocators.
By market value Bitcoin (BTC) sits inside the top ten, trading at $63,491.12 as of the latest snapshot. BTC is +2.81% over 24 hours, -4.60% over the past week, -3.74% over 30 days, putting it among the weekly underperformers across the top 250 by market capitalisation. Bitcoin trades 49% off its all-time high of $124,658.54, a level reached 8 months ago. Roughly 95% of BTC's total supply is liquid today (20.04M of 21.00M), with the balance scheduled for gradual release over time.
Trading volume is light versus market value — only about 0.1% of capitalisation changes hands daily — so larger orders can move price more than they would for higher-liquidity peers. On a one-year view BTC has lost 32.0%, against a broader crypto-market backdrop that closed the period roughly flat after several volatile quarters.
كيف يعمل — Bitcoin
يتم تأمين بيتكوين من خلال تعدين إثبات العمل: يتنافس المعدنون لحل لغز تشفيري، ومن يحله أولاً ينشر كتلة المعاملات التالية ويحصل على مكافأة الكتلة. تعدل الشبكة صعوبة اللغز كل 2,016 كتلة (حوالي أسبوعين) بحيث يتم إنتاج كتلة جديدة كل 10 دقائق تقريباً بغض النظر عن قوة الحوسبة المتصلة. بيتكوين لا يحتوي على عقود ذكية، ولا تخزين (staking)، ولا مجموعة مدققين، ولا حوكمة على السلسلة — صُمم عمداً ليكون شبكة نقدية أحادية الغرض.
العرض محدد بـ 21 مليون BTC، وتنخفض مكافأة الكتلة إلى النصف كل 210,000 كتلة (حوالي أربع سنوات). خفض النصف الأخير المكافأة إلى 3.125 BTC في أبريل 2024؛ ويتوقع النصف التالي حوالي أبريل 2028 بقيمة 1.5625 BTC. كل نصف يضغط جدول العرض الجديد ويميز تاريخياً نقطة التحول الهيكلية لدورة الأربع سنوات.
الإنتاجية على الطبقة الأساسية محدودة عمداً — حوالي 7 معاملات في الثانية في المتوسط. تعمل حالات الاستخدام عالية الحجم على طبقات ثانية، أبرزها شبكة Lightning، التي تستخدم قنوات دفع مؤمنة ببيتكوين لتسوية المعاملات عالية التردد منخفضة الرسوم.
حالات الاستخدام — Bitcoin
تعكس حالات الاستخدام الأساسية لبيتكوين تصميمها كشبكة نقدية:
- مخزن للقيمة. حالة الاستخدام السائدة. يحتفظ الأفراد والشركات (لا سيما Strategy، سابقاً MicroStrategy، بحوالي 250,000 BTC) والسيادات بـ BTC كبديل رقمي للذهب — نادر بمصداقية، قابل للنقل عبر الحدود دون إذن، وخارج السياسة النقدية لأي ولاية قضائية واحدة.
- طبقة التسوية. يُستخدم بيتكوين بشكل متزايد كطبقة تسوية للمعاملات عالية القيمة ومنخفضة التردد حيث يكون النهائية والتسوية بدون طرف مقابل أكثر أهمية من السرعة.
- المدفوعات عبر Lightning. تتيح شبكة Lightning مدفوعات شبه فورية برسوم أقل من سنت، مع تبني متزايد في المناطق التي تواجه عدم استقرار العملة وكقناة تحويلات.
- الضمان. BTC هو الشكل الأكثر قبولاً على نطاق واسع للضمانات المشفرة في كل من منصات الإقراض المركزية واللامركزية.
- أصل احتياطي لصناديق ETF. تحتفظ صناديق ETF الفورية لبيتكوين (IBIT، FBTC، BITB وغيرها) جماعياً بأكثر من مليون BTC، مما يجعل الأصل متاحاً من خلال حسابات الوساطة التقليدية.
ما لا يُستخدم بيتكوين له: العقود الذكية، التطبيقات اللامركزية، NFTs (Ordinals تراكب متخصص)، أو التخزين المولّد للعائد. أي شيء يتطلب البرمجة يعمل على شبكة أخرى.
الاقتصاد الرمزي
Supply schedule & distribution
- Circulating supply: 20.04M BTC — tokens actively trading and held by the public
- Total supply: 20.04M BTC — all tokens minted to date (including those locked or held by the issuer)
- Max supply: 21.00M BTC — the protocol-defined upper limit (if any) on lifetime issuance
- Issued to date: 95.4% of max supply
Bitcoin's supply schedule directly affects its long-term inflation rate and, by extension, how dilutive future issuance will be to existing holders. A coin near full dilution behaves very differently from one that still has 60% of its supply waiting to be unlocked.
Supply economics
Issuance pressure, dilution, and structural value accrual
Bitcoin's tokenomics combine its supply schedule, current circulating supply, and the relationship between circulating market cap and fully-diluted valuation. At 95.4% of maximum supply already issued, the remaining issuance is a relatively small fraction of total potential supply. Sell pressure from future issuance is therefore limited.
For thesis-building, the relevant question is whether the structural value accrual mechanism (fee burns, staking yield reinvestment, deflationary supply mechanics, ecosystem TVL growth) outpaces the structural emission pressure. When it does, the price tends to grind higher over multi-quarter windows even without speculative momentum; when it does not, the asset typically requires consistent narrative-driven demand to absorb the issuance.
ملاحظة المتداول
تفسير تكتيكي حسب نوع العملة
For Bitcoin, the tactical framework that has historically mattered most is the four-year cycle anchored to the halving. The current cycle's position determines whether the strategic posture is accumulation (early-cycle, post-halving) or distribution-aware (late-cycle, parabolic). Network-health metrics — hashrate, difficulty trajectory, mempool fees — provide the same kind of signal for BTC that earnings provide for equities: the underlying business of mining is either growing or contracting, and the price tends to follow over multi-quarter windows.
The Price Strength composite at 31/100 reads as bearish. Combined with the 49%% from all-time high, this is the kind of setup that has historically rewarded patience: careful entries near support outperform chasing rebounds. Position sizing should reflect that PoW-chain volatility tends to amplify both directions, with single-week moves of 15%+ entirely normal.
Developer activity
On-chain projects live or die by code shipped · via GitHub
- v31.0 · Bitcoin Core 31.0 2026-04-20
- v28.4 · Bitcoin Core 28.4 2026-04-06
- v29.3 · Bitcoin Core 29.3 2026-02-11
- v30.2 · Bitcoin Core 30.2 2026-01-13
- v30.1 · Bitcoin Core 30.1 2026-01-02
Bitcoin's public repository
(bitcoin/bitcoin)
shows 89,276 stars,
100 commits over the trailing 30 days from
18 active contributors, and the
most recent release on 2026-04-20.
Combined into our composite Developer Activity Index, the project reads as
very active
(85/100) — useful as a quasi-fundamental signal alongside on-chain
metrics and market pricing.
Markets & exchanges
Top trading pairs by 24h volume
| # | Exchange | Pair | Last price | 24h volume | Trust |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Binance | BTC/USDT | $63,491.12 | $1.55B | A+ |
| 2 | Coinbase | BTC/USD | $63,497.47 | $341.77M | A+ |
| 3 | OKX | BTC/USDT | $63,484.77 | $217.49M | A |
| 4 | Bybit | BTC/USDT | $63,503.82 | $170.88M | A |
| 5 | Kraken | BTC/USD | $63,478.42 | $124.28M | A |
Initial rows server-rendered from our verified pipeline (binance-v2). Data-only. STNews does not place affiliate links here. See our affiliate disclosure.
If you'd bought Bitcoin...
ROI calculator · historical close prices
Calculated on daily close prices. Does not include trading fees, taxes, or staking yields. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Converter
Rate: 1 BTC = $63,491.12
Compared to peers
Price, market cap, volume, supply
| Coin | 7d trend | Price | Market Cap | 24h Vol | 24h % | 7d % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Bitcoin
BTC
|
$63,491.12 | $1.27T | $1.55B | +2.81% | -4.60% | |
Ethereum
ETH
|
$1,682.97 | $203.11B | $794.58M | +4.03% | -5.79% | |
Dogecoin
DOGE
|
$0.0862 | $12.79B | $62.97M | +2.83% | -6.29% | |
Litecoin
LTC
|
$43.02 | $3.32B | $17.41M | +2.23% | -8.92% | |
Monero
XMR
|
$118.70 | $2.19B | $574.68K | +4.77% | -6.72% | |
Solana
SOL
|
$66.59 | $39.20B | $187.02M | +3.45% | -13.42% | |
BNB
BNB
|
$599.84 | $83.49B | $86.65M | +1.92% | -3.52% | |
Cardano
ADA
|
$0.1662 | $7.48B | $35.54M | +2.78% | -11.45% |
Market sentiment
Crypto Fear & Greed Index · alternative.me
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index aggregates volatility, market momentum, social media activity, dominance and Google Trends data into a single 0–100 score updated daily. Today's reading is 12 — Extreme Fear.
Extreme fear (below 25) historically signals buying opportunities for contrarians, while extreme greed (above 75) often precedes corrections. The index works best as one input among many, not as a standalone trading signal.
Macro & cross-asset context
How macro liquidity and cross-asset moves frame the trade
The macro backdrop for crypto assets in 2026 is dominated by the Federal Reserve's rate path, the trajectory of dollar liquidity, and the unwind (or non-unwind) of the post-2020 expansion in M2 money supply. Crypto assets — and Bitcoin in particular — have historically responded most strongly to changes in the global liquidity regime, with risk-on phases coinciding with falling real yields and a softening dollar, and risk-off phases the inverse.
The cross-asset relationships worth monitoring: the dollar index (DXY) — historically inversely correlated with crypto over longer windows; the 10-year Treasury yield — a proxy for the cost of risk capital; gold — which often shares "monetary hedge" framing with Bitcoin during certain regime changes; and the S&P 500 — which during liquidity-driven moves often rhymes with crypto despite the popular framing of crypto as uncorrelated.
For Bitcoin specifically, the macro variable that has empirically led price most often is global crypto-market liquidity — proxied by stablecoin total supply, futures open interest, and exchange volumes. When these expand, BTC tends to follow; when they contract, the relationship typically reverses.
المخاطر
المخاطر الخاصة ببيتكوين كشبكة نقدية بإثبات العمل:
- تركز التعدين. تتحكم أكبر ثلاث تجمعات تعدين جماعياً في أكثر من 50% من معدل التجزئة العالمي. وعلى الرغم من أن أي تجمع لم يتصرف بشكل ضار تاريخياً، إلا أن هذا التركز يمثل مخاطرة هيكلية.
- التعرض للطاقة والتنظيم. تجذب البصمة الكهربائية لتعدين بيتكوين اهتماماً سياسياً مستمراً. تسببت الحظرات الخاصة بالولايات القضائية (الصين 2021) في انخفاضات قصيرة الأجل لمعدل التجزئة، لكنها لم تضر الشبكة على المدى الطويل.
- الحوسبة الكمية (long-tail). يمكن للحاسوب الكمي المتقدم بما يكفي نظرياً كسر توقيعات المنحنى الإهليلجي. هذا جدول زمني يمتد لعقود وقد بحث المجتمع بنشاط في ترقيات ما بعد الكم.
- الارتباط الكلي. على الرغم من سرديته "كأصل غير مرتبط"، ارتبط BTC تاريخياً بالأصول الخطرة (ناسداك) خلال انكماشات السيولة. فوائد التنويع حقيقية لكنها ليست مطلقة.
- الحفظ. يتطلب الحفظ الذاتي عناية تشغيلية؛ فقدان المفاتيح الخاصة دائم. تعيد حلول الحفظ مخاطر الطرف المقابل.
- التقلب. قدم بيتكوين تاريخياً 60-80% من التقلب السنوي المحقق — أضعاف الأسهم. يجب أن يعكس تحديد حجم المراكز هذا.
Frequently asked questions
Who created Bitcoin? ▾
Bitcoin was created by an anonymous developer or group of developers using the pseudonym Satoshi Nakamoto. The whitepaper was published in October 2008 and the first block was mined on January 3, 2009. Satoshi's real identity has never been verified.
What is the maximum supply of Bitcoin? ▾
Bitcoin has a hard-coded maximum supply of 21 million coins. The remaining supply will be released gradually through the mining reward, which halves approximately every four years. The final Bitcoin is projected to be mined around the year 2140.
How is Bitcoin different from other cryptocurrencies? ▾
Bitcoin is the original cryptocurrency and remains the largest by market capitalization. It is primarily designed as a store of value and a censorship-resistant payment network, not a platform for smart contracts or decentralized applications. Other major networks like Ethereum focus on programmability; Bitcoin focuses on simplicity, security and predictable monetary policy.
Latest STNews coverage of Bitcoin
All BTC stories →In the news
Headlines from major crypto outlets · refreshed every 6h
MicroStrategy Buys Bitcoin 2 Weeks After Selling
MicroStrategy bought 1,550 BTC for $101 million weeks after its first Bitcoin sale since 2022, lifting holdings to 845,256. The post MicroStrategy Buys Bitcoin 2 Weeks After Selling appeared first on BeInCrypto.
BTC price bottom not due until Q4? Five things to know in Bitcoin this week
Bitcoin traders warned that it should be Q3 at least before the real BTC price bear market bottom entered.
Chinese court treats Bitcoin as property in 107 BTC memory theft case
Man in eastern China who stole 107 Bitcoin using a memorized seed phrase gets 10 years and nine months behind bars.
Bitcoin holds steady after Sunday's rally, though full-fledged reversal may take longer
Bitcoin is holding above $63,000 after rallying on Sunday. The price is now hovering near a key 200-week moving average that often marks major cycle turning points.
Gold slips below 200-day moving average offering glimmer of hope for bitcoin bulls
Gold falls into bear market territory, while a stronger U.S. dollar and rising rate expectations pressure risk assets.
Quantum Resistance Was Crypto’s Hottest Sector During the May Selloff
Quantum-resistant cryptocurrencies were the standout performers of May, outpacing Bitcoin (BTC) by 59.3% for the month even as the broader market sold off, according to Binance Research. The rally centered on Zcash (ZEC), which surged past $690 in mid-May and overtook Cardano (ADA) to become the 9th-largest cryptocurrency by market value. A Down Month That The post Quantum Resistance Was Crypto…
The information on this page is provided for general educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile; you can lose some or all of your capital. STNews does not recommend that any cryptocurrency should be bought, sold or held by you. Conduct your own due diligence and consult your independent financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Data sources: CoinGecko · CoinPaprika · Binance · DefiLlama · alternative.me Fear & Greed Index · Editorial standards: /editorial-guidelines · Affiliate disclosure: /affiliate-disclosure
احصل على موجز العملات المستقرة في بريدك.
الأسواق، التنظيم، تدفقات السلسلة. أيام العمل صباحاً، 7 صباحاً UTC. مجاناً، إلغاء الاشتراك بنقرة.