{"id":2521,"date":"2026-07-01T00:03:32","date_gmt":"2026-06-30T18:33:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/stnews.live\/2026\/07\/bitcoin-could-fall-under-58k-us-dollar-reaches-40-year-peak-2\/"},"modified":"2026-07-01T00:03:32","modified_gmt":"2026-06-30T18:33:32","slug":"bitcoin-could-fall-under-58k-us-dollar-reaches-40-year-peak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stnews.live\/ja\/2026\/07\/bitcoin-could-fall-under-58k-us-dollar-reaches-40-year-peak\/","title":{"rendered":"\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u306f\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\u304c40\u5e74\u3076\u308a\u306e\u9ad8\u5024\u306b\u9054\u3059\u308b\u4e2d\u300158,000\u30c9\u30eb\u3092\u4e0b\u56de\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308b"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size\" style=\"font-size:0.85em;color:#666\"><em>This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n<p>Bitcoin\u2019s current trading price is $58,536, sitting just above a critical support level at $58,115 after it\u2019s been on a downward trend for two months, Binance data shows. This price is 16.2% below the 20-week average of $69,889, underscoring Bitcoin\u2019s weakened momentum amid volatile market conditions. The 42% price range over the past 12 weeks demonstrates how uncertain investors are feeling right now, especially as the US dollar hits its highest point against the yen in 40 years \u2014 adding fresh pressure on Bitcoin, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coindesk.com\/markets\/2026\/06\/30\/bitcoin-s-52-week-correlation-with-usd-jpy-hits-0-90-undercutting-carry-trade-theory\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">CoinDesk\u2019s coverage<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-wide\" \/>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Impact of US Dollar Strength on Bitcoin<\/h2>\n\n\n<p>The US dollar\u2019s surge to 162.40 yen per dollar \u2014 its lowest yen value since 1986 \u2014 is significant, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squaredtech.co\/bitcoin-under-60k-as-yen-hits-lowest-level-since-1986\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Squaredtech\u2019s coverage<\/a>. This reflects sharply divergent monetary policies: the Bank of Japan holds near-zero rates around 1%, while the US Federal Reserve\u2019s rate is much higher, hovering near 3.5%. This divergence drives the yen\u2019s depreciation and influences Bitcoin since its price historically has a strong negative correlation with the USD\/JPY exchange rate. Analysts highlight that this negative correlation, recently hitting -0.90, means Bitcoin often falls when the US dollar strengthens against the yen.<\/p>\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why is the Bitcoin price so volatile?<\/h3>\n\n\n<p>Bitcoin\u2019s price volatility can be attributed to various factors including market sentiment, regulatory news, and large withdrawals from investment vehicles like spot Bitcoin ETFs.<\/p>\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-wide\" \/>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Inflation and Federal Reserve Policy Influence<\/h2>\n\n\n<p>The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index showed headline inflation at 3.8% year-over-year in late June 2026, the highest since May 2023, <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptobriefing.com\/bitcoin-drops-58k-pce-inflation-high\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Crypto Briefing<\/a> reports. Core PCE, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, rose 3.3%. Its largest increase since November 2023 \u2014 reinforcing expectations that the Fed will keep interest rates elevated for a prolonged period. That restricts liquidity and raises the cost of holding non-yielding assets like Bitcoin. Also, preliminary forecasts suggest May\u2019s PCE might climb to 4.1%, stoking more anxiety about future tightening, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coindesk.com\/markets\/2026\/06\/30\/bitcoin-s-52-week-correlation-with-usd-jpy-hits-0-90-undercutting-carry-trade-theory\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">CoinDesk<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">Bitcoin: The Time and Price That Will Likely Mark the &#8216;Cycle&#8217; Low<br \/><br \/>Bitcoin traders have been looking &#8220;Global Money Supply or Global Liquidity&#8221; the wrong way !!!<br \/><br \/>The US dollar is strengthening on multiple fronts, and history is unambiguous about what that means for Bitcoin. <br \/><br \/>Our\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/zxyB7X1D8R\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">pic.twitter.com\/zxyB7X1D8R<\/a><\/p>\u2014 10x Research (@10xResearch) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/10xResearch\/status\/2069583740830163000?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">June 24, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-wide\" \/>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Reactions and Liquidations<\/h2>\n\n\n<p>Within just one hour on May 28, $600 million in leveraged Bitcoin and related digital asset positions were liquidated, <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptobriefing.com\/bitcoin-drops-58k-pce-inflation-high\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Crypto Briefing<\/a> reports. This selloff pushed Bitcoin down to roughly $58,000 \u2014 its lowest since September 2024 \u2014 marking a 47% fall from its late-2025 peak above $126,000. Liquidations at this scale demonstrate many traders were heavily leveraged on long Bitcoin positions expecting support levels to hold, but sudden volatility forced a swift exit.<\/p>\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-wide\" \/>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Spot Bitcoin ETF Outflows and Institutional Selling<\/h2>\n\n\n<p>Adding to the downward pressure, US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net redemptions of $4.4 billion in June, the largest monthly outflow this year, data from <a href=\"https:\/\/coincentral.com\/bitcoin-btc-price-btc-slips-below-60000-as-yen-hits-40-year-low-what-happens-next\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">CoinCentral<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/blockonomi.com\/bitcoin-btc-drops-under-60k-as-japanese-yen-plunges-to-40-year-depths\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Blockonomi<\/a> reveals. ETF authorized participants needed to sell Bitcoin holdings to meet these redemptions, pumping extra supply into the market. Publicly traded firms holding Bitcoin have also acted cautiously. For example, Strategy initiated a $1 billion stock buyback alongside a $1.25 billion capital-raising campaign that includes liquidating some Bitcoin holdings, <a href=\"https:\/\/coincentral.com\/bitcoin-btc-price-btc-slips-below-60000-as-yen-hits-40-year-low-what-happens-next\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">CoinCentral<\/a> reports.<\/p>\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-wide\" \/>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Technical Support Thresholds and Price Targets<\/h2>\n\n\n<p>Technical analysis from <a href=\"https:\/\/blockonomi.com\/bitcoin-btc-drops-under-60k-as-japanese-yen-plunges-to-40-year-depths\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Blockonomi<\/a> and CoinCentral shows Bitcoin must hold support above $58,800 to prevent a further drop into the $55,000\u2013$56,000 range. If it breaks this floor, selling pressure from short-term traders and algorithms could intensify. According to CoinDesk, this level is vital, warning that breaching it could trigger a cascade of selling.<\/p>\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-wide\" \/>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Yen Weakness and Risk Asset Vulnerability<\/h2>\n\n\n<p>The yen\u2019s depreciation signals broader risk-off sentiment among global investors, which dampens appetite for risk assets such as cryptocurrencies. Since 2021, Japan\u2019s currency has lost about 57% of its value against the US dollar, highlighting intense capital outflows and currency pressure, Blockonomi reports. Although the Bank of Japan recently hinted at raising rates to 1%, this remains far below US levels, providing ongoing incentives for further yen selling and increasing global currency volatility.<\/p>\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Geopolitical Risks and Energy Prices<\/h3>\n\n\n<p>Heightened geopolitical tensions, especially involving the Iran conflict, have pushed energy prices higher, adding to global inflationary pressures. Crypto Briefing details that energy costs make up a large part of consumer price indices, influencing nearly every sector of the economy. This surge complicates the Fed\u2019s ability to ease monetary policy without risking its credibility on inflation control. Experts point out that advancing energy-driven inflation discourages investment in risk assets like Bitcoin, since investors face mounting costs amid uncertain economic conditions.<\/p>\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Outlook and Market Sentiment<\/h3>\n\n\n<p>Bringing together these macroeconomic and currency factors, Bitcoin\u2019s price outlook appears precarious. The ongoing downtrend over eight weeks \u2014 a 28.8% drop \u2014 alongside critical support at $58,115, creates a fine line between stabilization and further decline. <a href=\"https:\/\/stnews.live\/bitcoin\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Bitcoin<\/a>\u2019s current trading volume of $58.1 billion and a market cap around $1.34 trillion show sustained investor interest despite rising caution. The risks from Fed rate hikes, yen depreciation, and geopolitical tensions continue to weigh heavily on sentiment, shaking the crypto markets, according to CoinCentral.<\/p>\n\n\n<p>More detailed technical analysis on possible trend reversals is available in the recent Bitcoin Price Four-Year Trend <a href=\"https:\/\/stnews.live\/ja\/2026\/06\/bitcoin-price-four-year-trend-predicts-76k-analysis-claims-not-broken\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Predicts<\/a>$76K, Analysis Claims. It outlines patterns that could signal a constructive recovery phase, as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squaredtech.co\/bitcoin-under-60k-as-yen-hits-lowest-level-since-1986\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Squaredtech<\/a> states.<\/p>\n\n\n<p>Bitcoin reached its all-time low of $0.00099 in February 2012. It did not have a specific recorded value of $1 until later.<\/p>\n\n\n<p>The maximum supply of Bitcoin is 21 million <a href=\"https:\/\/stnews.live\/ja\/2026\/06\/can-btc-rebound-69k-oil-price-plunges-five-signs\/\" rel=\"noopener\">BTC<\/a>. The current amount in circulation is not specified in the provided context.<\/p>\n\n\n<p>Bitcoin\u2019s price volatility can be attributed to various factors including market sentiment, regulatory news, and significant withdrawals from investment vehicles like spot Bitcoin ETFs.<\/p>\n\n\n<p>The return on a $1 investment in Bitcoin would depend on the current price at the time of the investment and is not detailed in the context.<\/p>\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-wide\" \/>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u4fa1\u683c\u306f\u3001\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\u304c\u5186\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u306640\u5e74\u3076\u308a\u306e\u9ad8\u5024\u3092\u8a18\u9332\u3059\u308b\u4e2d\u30012026\u5e746\u6708\u306b\u6697\u53f7\u5e02\u5834\u306b\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u4e0e\u3048\u300158,000\u30c9\u30eb\u3092\u4e0b\u56de\u308b\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Bitcoin price risks drop below $58K as US dollar hits 40-year high against yen","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Bitcoin price risks dropping below $58K amid US dollar hitting 40-year high against the yen, impacting crypto markets in June 2026.","rank_math_description":"Bitcoin price risks dropping below $58K amid US dollar hitting 40-year high against the yen, impacting crypto markets in June 2026.","rank_math_focus_keyword":"Bitcoin price risks drop below $58K as US dollar hits 40-year high against yen","_stn_article_citation":"","_stn_article_about":"","_stn_article_speakable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[2,209,212,215,218,10],"tags":[36,27],"class_list":["post-2521","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-bitcoin-es","category-bitcoin-de","category-bitcoin-fr","category-bitcoin-pt","category-exchanges","tag-binance","tag-bitcoin"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - 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is an independent digital crypto-news platform covering Bitcoin, Ethereum, stablecoins, DeFi, regulatory developments, and on-chain intelligence in 8 languages. 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